Public evidence record

Bigmato410

0x0f821dcc965f40e02e7ddf5748993c5ae0019ae1

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.4%420 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.5%$339,337 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.57%170 pre-event fills

Settlement record

148-219Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−33.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 420 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.9% to +4.0%

420 closed positions · 672 taker fills · $339,337 deployed

Typical position $600 (median) · closing line value measured over 170 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball291 closed97–152-3.3%
Basketball120 closed50–60-4.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-16	Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline	Boston Red Sox	lost	41¢ · +145	$485	−485
2026-09-11	New York Mets vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline	New York Mets	lost	46¢ · +117	$514	−514
2026-09-10	Combo: Texas Rangers — Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners + Chicago White Sox — Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · combo	—	lost	24¢ · +314	$372	−372
2026-09-10	Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · moneyline	Texas Rangers	lost