Public evidence record

Telepath-One

0x0fded0ed829a00c35dcd2d550983e92108ed8ab1

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 16, 2026

Source sync: Oct 15, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.2%1,101 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.8%$744,470 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.22%742 pre-event fills

Settlement record

742-157-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−32.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,101 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.3% to -0.0%

1,101 closed positions · 2,046 taker fills · $744,470 deployed

Typical position $400 (median) · closing line value measured over 742 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

6 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$254

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5

Under

entry 81¢ · -422now 69¢ · -217−12.3 pts

Open

value$200

Baniyas Club vs. Al Wasl FC: O/U 5.5

Under

entry 87¢ · -669now 87¢ · -669+0.0 pts

Open

value$952

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Yes

entry 73¢ · -270now 70¢ · -228−3.5 pts

Open

value$38197

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No

entry 35¢ · +189now 89¢ · -770+53.9 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer398 closed305–47–1-2.0%
Esports339 closed226–47–2-4.1%
Basketball289 closed167–53-3.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 83 sports · 17 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-15	San Diego FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 7.5soccer · totals	Under	won	67¢ · -202	$203	+95
2026-10-15	Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5soccer · totals	Under	won	87¢ · -669	$302	+43
2026-10-15	Colorado Rapids SC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 4.5soccer · totals	Under	won	90¢ · -880	$201	+21
2026-10-15	Nashville SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 6.5