Public evidence record

SergioQG1217

0x125ff396b1439e9612beff4fc63225829464b7e8

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.3%221 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.1%$14,085 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.42%30 pre-event fills

Settlement record

100-93Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−17.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 221 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.4% to +2.8%

221 closed positions · 375 taker fills · $14,085 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 30 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis104 closed48–39-2.1%
Soccer90 closed43–40-7.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-23	Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 1.5soccer · first half totals	Over	lost	68¢ · -213	$10	−10
2026-08-23	Club Puebla vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5soccer · totals	Over	lost	59¢ · -144	$15	−15
2026-08-23	San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline	San Francisco Giants	lost	2¢ · +5971	$1	−1
2026-08-23	Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score	Yes	won