Public evidence record

Forkify-002

0x133a9901fcdb918685b90c93f8fd574521df504a

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-0.3%8,455 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.3%$309,487 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.37%300 pre-event fills

Settlement record

3577-4815-31Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−133.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 8,455 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -2.9% to +2.3%

8,455 closed positions · 10,366 taker fills · $309,487 deployed

Typical position $41 (median) · closing line value measured over 300 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis5,354 closed2215–3101–22-1.4%
Esports1,110 closed444–657–9-1.7%
Soccer810 closed347–458-1.2%
Baseball766 closed375–382+3.0%
Basketball336 closed155–179+1.7%
Hockey79 closed41–38-1.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 94 sports · 6 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-30	Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5soccer · totals	Under	lost	46¢ · +117	$30	−30
2026-08-30	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline	No	lost	45¢ · +121	$30	—
2026-08-30	Egypt vs. DR Congomoneyline · Non-sports	Egypt	lost	42¢ · +138	$30	−30
2026-08-30	Philippines vs. Iranmoneyline · Non-sports