Public evidence record

Beater

0x137ff98578e2043100f1d33abcccdf3a1c44968d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.3%277 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.0%$14,107 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.73%229 pre-event fills

Settlement record

118-153-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−26.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 277 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.2% to +4.7%

277 closed positions · 317 taker fills · $14,107 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 229 pre-event fills · 5% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$27

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes

entry 22¢ · +355now 6¢ · +1581−16.1 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball209 closed92–117-3.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-13	Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline	Cincinnati Reds	won	36¢ · +178	$52	+87
2026-09-13	Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline	Houston Astros	lost	45¢ · +122	$51	−51
2026-09-13	Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · moneyline	Los Angeles Angels	lost	48¢ · +108	$51	−51
2026-09-13	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves