Public evidence record

0x13b8…0f33

0x13b8b046e777aa4973497796238d616a9a810f33

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.6%691 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.9%$41,873 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.08%178 pre-event fills

Settlement record

590-71Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−10.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 691 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.9% to -0.2%

691 closed positions · 1,243 taker fills · $41,873 deployed

Typical position $38 (median) · closing line value measured over 178 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$10

Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-22?

Yes

entry 91¢ · -1010now 93¢ · -1233+1.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer324 closed275–35-3.3%
Baseball196 closed174–16-4.0%
Esports107 closed81–17-4.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 49.5football · totals	Under	won	98¢ · -4662	$15	+0
2026-09-20	Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Feverbasketball · moneyline	Washington Mystics	won	98¢ · -6150	$10	+0
2026-09-20	Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	97¢ · -3025	$15	—
2026-09-20	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)soccer · spreads	Valencia CF	exited	97¢ · -3233