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Public evidence record
0x1513ef4b6b9709d6cb698b4cae7f2e777e24831a
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-5.6%1,115 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.1%$95,874 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.77%224 pre-event fillsSettlement record
525-496-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−89.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,115 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.8% to -0.4%
1,115 closed positions · 2,124 taker fills · $95,874 deployed
Typical position $46 (median) · closing line value measured over 224 pre-event fills · 3% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Ravens — Spread: Ravens (-7.5) + Bears — Vikings vs. Bears + Eagles — Eagles vs. Titansfootball · combo | — | lost | 23¢ · +334 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Notre Dame — Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) + LSU — LSU vs. Ole Missfootball · combo | — | lost | 28¢ · +256 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-09-19 | Combo: Yes — Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? + No — Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · combo | — | lost | 4¢ · +2707 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Combo: Yes — Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · combo |
| — |
| lost |
| 15¢ · +585 |
| $10 |
| −10 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $21 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Spread: Bills (-5.5)football · spreads | Bills | won | 51¢ · -104 | $17 | +16 |
| 2026-09-17 | Combo: Crystal Palace FC — Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) + Manchester City FC — Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) + Yes — Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?soccer · combo | — | won | 28¢ · +259 | $5 | +12 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: No — Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · combo | — | lost | 59¢ · -141 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Yes — Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? + No — Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · combo | — | lost | 20¢ · +389 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Sheltontennis · moneyline | Ben Shelton | won | 73¢ · -270 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Wildcard (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group Besports · moneyline | Team Nemesis | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-11 | Combo: FC Barcelona — Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) + Seahawks — Patriots vs. Seahawks + 49ers — 49ers vs. Ramsmulti sport · combo | — | won | 14¢ · +592 | $2 | +10 |
| 2026-09-08 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-09-08 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 72¢ · -257 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 59¢ · -144 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-09-06 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffsesports · moneyline | 100 Thieves | won | 55¢ · -122 | $2 | +2 |
| 2026-09-06 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffsesports · moneyline | MOUZ | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 20¢ · +400 | $4 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Combo: MOUZ — Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs + NRG — Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs + No — Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05?multi sport · combo | — | lost | 13¢ · +656 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Combo: Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05? + Yes — Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05?soccer · combo | — | lost | 42¢ · +140 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-05 | Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs A Team (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffsesports · moneyline | FunPlus Phoenix | won | 62¢ · -163 | $1 | +1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffsesports · moneyline | Team Falcons | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $2 | −1 |
| 2026-09-05 | San Jose State vs. Eastern Michiganfootball · moneyline | Eastern Michigan | lost | 50¢ · +100 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-09-05 | Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Overtake (BO1) - NSTLGA League Group Stageesports · moneyline | Villainous | lost | 31¢ · +225 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoetennis · moneyline | Valentin Vacherot | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilartennis · moneyline | Daniel Merida Aguilar | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipastennis · moneyline | Stefanos Tsitsipas | exited | 48¢ · +108 | $12 | +13 |
| 2026-09-04 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffsesports · moneyline | Vitality | won | 62¢ · -163 | $8 | +5 |
| 2026-09-04 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffsesports · moneyline | G2 Esports | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-09-04 | Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffsesports · moneyline | 100 Thieves | won | 48¢ · +108 | $10 | +11 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Karen Khachanovtennis · moneyline | Felix Auger-Aliassime | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-09-03 | Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stageesports · moneyline | HAVU | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-09-03 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | EYEBALLERS | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-03 | Porto: Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanovtennis · moneyline | Dimitar Kuzmanov | lost | 72¢ · -257 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-03 | Combo: XLG Gaming — Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs + Wolves Esports — Valorant: Wolves Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffsesports · combo | — | lost | 16¢ · +540 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-09-03 | Valorant: Wolves Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Wolves Esports | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $14 | −14 |
| 2026-09-03 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 71¢ · -245 | $15 | +6 |
| 2026-09-03 | Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5esports · totals | Under | won | 82¢ · -452 | $15 | +3 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzaktennis · moneyline | Valentin Vacherot | exited | 54¢ · -117 | $8 | +7 |
| 2026-09-03 | Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsesports · moneyline | Nongshim RedForce | won | 63¢ · -169 | $10 | +6 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonetennis · moneyline | Mariano Navone | exited | 69¢ · -223 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-09-03 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 72¢ · -257 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-09-03 | New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 59¢ · -144 | $11 | +7 |
| 2026-09-03 | San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | San Francisco Giants | won | 59¢ · -146 | $28 | +18 |
| 2026-09-03 | New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | New York Mets | won | 79¢ · -376 | $6 | +1 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipastennis · moneyline | Stefanos Tsitsipas | won | 58¢ · -138 | $6 | +4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Frech (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Jovic | won | 87¢ · -669 | $5 | +1 |
| 2026-09-02 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 75¢ · -300 | $20 | +6 |
| 2026-09-02 | Combo: Yes — VfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 + Yes — Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-09-02? + No — Will Millwall FC win on 2026-09-02?soccer · combo | — | exited | 15¢ · +554 | $4 | +21 |
| 2026-09-02 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | lost | 78¢ · -355 | $12 | −12 |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Daniel Altmaiertennis · moneyline | Zachary Svajda | won | 77¢ · -341 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-09-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 36¢ · +178 | $4 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Counter-Strike: K27 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | K27 | won | 13¢ · +669 | $1 | +7 |
| 2026-09-02 | Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | magic | lost | 58¢ · -140 | $7 | −7 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musettitennis · moneyline | Arthur Fery | lost | 5¢ · +1941 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-01 | Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 70¢ · -233 | $7 | +3 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobollitennis · moneyline | Francisco Comesana | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-01 | Counter-Strike: NEXVOID vs Rare Atom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Rare Atom | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-01 | Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Overtake | lost | 17¢ · +488 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-01 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | lost | 82¢ · -456 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-31 | Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsesports · moneyline | ShindeN | lost | 16¢ · +525 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-08-31 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Besports · moneyline | Team Falcons | lost | 78¢ · -355 | $8 | −8 |
| 2026-08-31 | Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | Team Nemesis | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-08-31 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Aesports · moneyline | G2 | won | 25¢ · +300 | $2 | +6 |
| 2026-08-31 | Valorant: LOUD vs MIBR - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | LOUD | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Valorant: LOUD vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffsesports · moneyline | LOUD | won | 40¢ · +150 | $2 | +3 |
| 2026-08-31 | Combo: Karmine Corp — Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs + Leviatán Esports — Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs + MIBR — Valorant: LOUD vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffsesports · combo | — | lost | 21¢ · +378 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-30 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $7 | −7 |
| 2026-08-30 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 71¢ · -245 | $7 | −7 |
| 2026-08-30 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 46¢ · +117 | $5 | +6 |
| 2026-08-30 | Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Leviatán Esports | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-30 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsesports · moneyline | Karmine Corp | won | 65¢ · -184 | $10 | +5 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $5 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Combo: No — Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-30? + Yes — Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?soccer · combo | — | exited | 34¢ · +196 | $3 | +6 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 52¢ · -108 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Leviatán Esports | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-08-30 | Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffsesports · moneyline | MIBR | won | 63¢ · -170 | $8 | +4 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-08-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 82¢ · -456 | $6 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-08-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 65¢ · -186 | $7 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 72¢ · -257 | $3 | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Lions vs. Coltsfootball · moneyline | Lions | exited | 73¢ · -270 | $7 | +3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 83¢ · -488 | $5 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 31¢ · +223 | $2 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC · Spread Newcastle United FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Newcastle United FC | won | 14¢ · +614 | $1 | +6 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 45¢ · +122 | $2 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsesports · moneyline | FUT Esports | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsesports · moneyline | Gen.G Esports | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Combo: T1 — Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs + Paper Rex — Valorant: VARREL vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsesports · combo | — | lost | 41¢ · +142 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Valorant: VARREL vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsesports · moneyline | Paper Rex | lost | 76¢ · -317 | $8 | −8 |
| 2026-08-29 | Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Paper Rex | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | exited | 74¢ · -282 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-08-29 | Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Cardinals vs. Packersfootball · moneyline | Packers | won | 50¢ · -100 | $7 | +7 |
| 2026-08-29 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffsesports · moneyline | 100 Thieves | won | 42¢ · +139 | $5 | +6 |
| 2026-08-29 | Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffsesports · moneyline | NRG | won | 69¢ · -225 | $3 | +1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)esports · map handicap | NRG | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-08-28 | Combo: Yes — Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) + Yes — Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) + Yes — Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-28?soccer · combo | — | exited | 18¢ · +443 | $3 | +13 |
| 2026-08-28 | Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $2 | −2 |