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Public evidence record
0x160223e42e22a4d8b7d81ff45d83e3aaa27dfbb0
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
+2.9%275 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-1.3%$397,874 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-3.93%40 pre-event fillsSettlement record
135-110-3Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−19.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 275 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.4% to +12.1%
275 closed positions · 645 taker fills · $397,874 deployed
Typical position $508 (median) · closing line value measured over 40 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 83 sports · 17 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 83¢ · -506 | $202 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 50¢ · -100 | $104 | +97 |
| 2026-09-15 | Tiburon: Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan Smith |
| Keegan Smith |
| lost |
| 32¢ · +211 |
| $2,171 |
| −2,171 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 59¢ · -144 | $746 | −521 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 74¢ · -291 | $1,018 | +105 |
| 2026-09-15 | Tiburon: Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan Smithtennis · moneyline | Mitchell Krueger | won | 91¢ · -1040 | $3,817 | −1,114 |
| 2026-09-15 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Cetennis · moneyline | Eva Lys | won | 87¢ · -642 | $4,027 | −794 |
| 2026-09-15 | Szczecin: Tiago Pereira vs Filip Pieczonkatennis · moneyline | Filip Pieczonka | exited | 49¢ · +106 | $2,051 | +2,055 |
| 2026-09-15 | Valencia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Martina Trevisantennis · moneyline | Leyre Romero Gormaz | lost | 74¢ · -291 | $7,090 | −5,673 |
| 2026-09-15 | Caldas da Rainha: Elena Micic vs Anouk Koevermanstennis · moneyline | Anouk Koevermans | won | 93¢ · -1373 | $7,525 | +512 |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou: Hayato Matsuoka vs Lloyd Harristennis · moneyline | Hayato Matsuoka | lost | 45¢ · +121 | $7,632 | +53 |
| 2026-09-15 | Sao Paulo Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Nadia Podoroskatennis · moneyline | Nadia Podoroska | won | 52¢ · -108 | $4,087 | +3,581 |
| 2026-09-15 | Ljubljana: Weronika Falkowska vs Kristina Novaktennis · moneyline | Kristina Novak | exited | 70¢ · -233 | $1,342 | +428 |
| 2026-09-15 | Sao Paulo Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshitatennis · moneyline | Darja Semenistaja | won | 72¢ · -257 | $3,143 | +477 |
| 2026-09-15 | Valencia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Nastasja Schunktennis · moneyline | Oksana Selekhmeteva | lost | 61¢ · -155 | $17,269 | −17,269 |
| 2026-09-15 | Biella: Alex Barrena vs Maxime Chazaltennis · moneyline | Alex Barrena | won | 75¢ · -299 | $15,188 | +4,805 |
| 2026-09-15 | Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Veddertennis · moneyline | Jennifer Ruggeri | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $14,056 | +1,145 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 52¢ · -109 | $1,034 | −1,034 |
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4: Yuta Shimizu vs Philip Sekulictennis · moneyline | Yuta Shimizu | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $5,135 | −5,135 |
| 2026-09-14 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsendtennis · moneyline | Tatjana Maria | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $8,188 | −8,188 |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes: Murphy Cassone vs Inaki Montestennis · moneyline | Inaki Montes | lost | 42¢ · +136 | $4,115 | −4,115 |
| 2026-09-14 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Carole Monnet vs Sloane Stephenstennis · moneyline | Sloane Stephens | won | 80¢ · -411 | $18,176 | +4,183 |
| 2026-09-14 | Ljubljana: Arantxa Rus vs Samira De Stefanotennis · moneyline | Arantxa Rus | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $5,201 | −5,201 |
| 2026-09-14 | Guangzhou: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Hanyi Liutennis · moneyline | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | won | 72¢ · -261 | $8,111 | +2,841 |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes: Max Schoenhaus vs Patrick Bradytennis · moneyline | Max Schoenhaus | won | 57¢ · -132 | $8,169 | +5,855 |
| 2026-09-14 | Phan Thiet 4: Masamichi Imamura vs Enzo Aguiardtennis · moneyline | Masamichi Imamura | lost | 48¢ · +107 | $4,103 | −3,708 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will EC Vitória win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 82¢ · -447 | $4,182 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 86¢ · -614 | $5,035 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Alycia Parks vs Varvara Lepchenkotennis · moneyline | Alycia Parks | won | 66¢ · -194 | $5,085 | +2,491 |
| 2026-09-13 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltontennis · moneyline | Alexander Zverev | won | 74¢ · -290 | $10,128 | +3,319 |
| 2026-09-13 | Rennes: Luca Potenza vs Finn Basstennis · moneyline | Luca Potenza | lost | 80¢ · -391 | $8,081 | −8,081 |
| 2026-09-13 | Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunoldtennis · moneyline | Joao Lucas Da Silva | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $1,041 | −1,041 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $1,037 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | New Mexico State vs. Hawai'ifootball · moneyline | New Mexico State | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $1,030 | −561 |
| 2026-09-13 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipovtennis · moneyline | Ilya Ivashka | won | 52¢ · -108 | $3,072 | +2,697 |
| 2026-09-13 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffsesports · moneyline | Hanwha Life Esports | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $1,028 | −1,028 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 82¢ · -462 | $1,012 | +204 |
| 2026-09-12 | Sao Paulo Open, Qualification: Chloe Paquet vs Martina Capurrotennis · moneyline | Chloe Paquet | won | 65¢ · -186 | $2,035 | +1,042 |
| 2026-09-12 | Counter-Strike: Without a Roof vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsesports · moneyline | Without a Roof | lost | 49¢ · +105 | $1,026 | −1,026 |
| 2026-09-12 | Sao Paulo Open, Qualification: Victoria Bosio vs Lizette Cabreratennis · moneyline | Lizette Cabrera | lost | 18¢ · +470 | $1,041 | +1,248 |
| 2026-09-12 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinatennis · moneyline | Aryna Sabalenka | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $3,093 | −1,577 |
| 2026-09-12 | Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matej Dodigtennis · moneyline | Thiago Seyboth Wild | exited | 59¢ · -144 | $2,041 | +1,345 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $2,049 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $1,019 | −1,019 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $1,028 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | HOTU | exited | 71¢ · -248 | $7,090 | +2,718 |
| 2026-09-12 | Counter-Strike: SAW vs Luminosity (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsesports · moneyline | SAW | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $1,029 | −1,029 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $5,104 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 52¢ · -110 | $1,024 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 29¢ · +246 | $1,055 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will FC Südtirol vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 27¢ · +269 | $1,554 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Montreux: Noma Noha Akugue vs Guiomar Maristanytennis · moneyline | Guiomar Maristany | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $1,030 | −983 |
| 2026-09-12 | Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Color | won | 72¢ · -255 | $4,054 | +1,511 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Real Racing Club vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 33¢ · +200 | $127 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Cassis: Mark Lajal vs Daniel Masurtennis · moneyline | Mark Lajal | won | 81¢ · -426 | $2,019 | +448 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 28¢ · +257 | $1,036 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Tulln: Vitaliy Sachko vs Mika Brunoldtennis · moneyline | Mika Brunold | exited | 96¢ · -2396 | $6,012 | +232 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 42¢ · +139 | $3,182 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 46¢ · +117 | $1,027 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will FC Seoul win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 41¢ · +144 | $1,030 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Daegu FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $2,036 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffsesports · moneyline | Legacy | won | 62¢ · -165 | $4,074 | −2,167 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 53¢ · -115 | $1,033 | +838 |
| 2026-09-12 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | won | 94¢ · -1661 | $10,028 | +563 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-09-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -179 | $2,036 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbaseball · moneyline | Athletics | won | 33¢ · +203 | $1,034 | +1,994 |
| 2026-09-11 | Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Claire Liutennis · moneyline | Claire Liu | won | 76¢ · -316 | $10,120 | +3,026 |
| 2026-09-11 | Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · moneyline | Detroit Tigers | won | 68¢ · -213 | $5,080 | +2,273 |
| 2026-09-11 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanovtennis · moneyline | Alexander Zverev | won | 90¢ · -858 | $5,858 | +642 |
| 2026-09-11 | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Thiago Seyboth Wildtennis · moneyline | Thiago Seyboth Wild | won | 87¢ · -679 | $9,054 | +1,261 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 90¢ · -903 | $5,025 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Seville: Max Alcala Gurri vs Genaro Alberto Olivieritennis · moneyline | Max Alcala Gurri | won | 62¢ · -164 | $9,260 | +5,387 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 57¢ · -133 | $1,022 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Genoa: Matej Dodig vs Enrico Dalla Valletennis · moneyline | Matej Dodig | won | 70¢ · -233 | $3,045 | +1,236 |
| 2026-09-11 | Antalya 4: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Eva Bennemanntennis · moneyline | Alicia Herrero Linana | exited | 66¢ · -190 | $329 | +164 |
| 2026-09-11 | Seville: Facundo Acosta vs Sebastian Ofnertennis · moneyline | Facundo Acosta | exited | 40¢ · +150 | $1,030 | +1,467 |
| 2026-09-11 | Montreux: Simona Waltert vs Dalma Galfitennis · moneyline | Simona Waltert | lost | 13¢ · +695 | $1,147 | −1,147 |
| 2026-09-11 | Seville: Jaume Munar vs Raul Brancacciotennis · moneyline | Raul Brancaccio | lost | 23¢ · +340 | $3,622 | −3,622 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 70¢ · -233 | $1,015 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Braga end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $1,034 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liutennis · moneyline | Kaitlin Quevedo | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $2,065 | −2,065 |
| 2026-09-10 | Montreux: Simona Waltert vs Despina Papamichailtennis · moneyline | Simona Waltert | won | 82¢ · -456 | $2,018 | +421 |
| 2026-09-10 | Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonovatennis · moneyline | Elsa Jacquemot | won | 54¢ · -117 | $2,046 | +1,658 |
| 2026-09-10 | Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurritennis · moneyline | Max Alcala Gurri | won | 53¢ · -114 | $6,028 | +5,057 |
| 2026-09-10 | Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayertennis · moneyline | Lukas Neumayer | won | 72¢ · -257 | $1,014 | +374 |
| 2026-09-07 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-07?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 35¢ · +188 | $1,033 | — |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Busetennis · moneyline | Ignacio Buse | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $1,028 | −1,028 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Flavio Cobollitennis · moneyline | Flavio Cobolli | won | 89¢ · -809 | $4,022 | +472 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilotennis · moneyline | Alejandro Tabilo | won | 62¢ · -163 | $1,019 | +594 |
| 2026-08-31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 59¢ · -142 | $2,057 | +1,353 |
| 2026-08-31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 27¢ · +273 | $3,216 | −3,216 |
| 2026-08-31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 63¢ · -171 | $2,047 | +1,120 |
| 2026-08-31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 75¢ · -295 | $3,688 | −3,688 |
| 2026-08-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 51¢ · -102 | $3,060 | +2,793 |
| 2026-08-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 73¢ · -267 | $2,038 | +710 |
| 2026-08-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $2,060 | −2,060 |
| 2026-08-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 56¢ · -127 | $2,062 | +1,514 |
| 2026-08-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 91¢ · -1048 | $2,012 | +39 |
| 2026-08-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 60¢ · -153 | $2,055 | +1,251 |