Public evidence record

Maniaxj

0x16915bf4ffa5d58978303f6cde1861b7f686f891

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.9%843 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.0%$128,399 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.06%395 pre-event fills

Settlement record

411-248-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−57.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 843 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.9% to +0.2%

843 closed positions · 1,754 taker fills · $128,399 deployed

Typical position $120 (median) · closing line value measured over 395 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis612 closed314–182–3-4.4%
Basketball180 closed70–48-2.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-11	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoetennis · moneyline	Frances Tiafoe	lost	63¢ · -170	$296	−296
2026-10-11	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Mirra Andreevatennis · moneyline	Mirra Andreeva	lost	40¢ · +150	$296	−296
2026-10-11	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashimatennis · moneyline	Brandon Nakashima	lost	75¢ · -304	$387	−387
2026-10-11	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashimatennis · moneyline	Alexander Bublik