Public evidence record

Maniaxj

0x16915bf4ffa5d58978303f6cde1861b7f686f891

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.3%763 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.9%$117,492 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.05%346 pre-event fills

Settlement record

363-221-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−49.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 763 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.5% to +0.8%

763 closed positions · 1,593 taker fills · $117,492 deployed

Typical position $120 (median) · closing line value measured over 346 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.