Public evidence record

Cip106

0x1b0fcd4c06147cb090681b4bd59cab5b9319b7ae

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $20.60). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.4%3,719 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.3%$149,359 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.59%2,643 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1377-2061-34Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−199.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,719 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.2% to +1.4%

3,719 closed positions · 7,057 taker fills · $149,359 deployed

Typical position $21 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,643 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$12

Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes

entry 7¢ · +1325now 2¢ · +5028−5.1 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball1,678 closed631–994-2.9%
Tennis1,015 closed372–555–27-0.2%
Soccer288 closed92–166–1-8.5%
Esports246 closed82–90–5-1.5%
Football228 closed99–118-3.9%
Basketball206 closed88–112-5.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Plovdiv 4: Benjamin Hassan vs Pol Martin Tiffontennis · moneyline	Benjamin Hassan	lost	53¢ · -113	$21	−21
2026-09-21	Porto: Susan Bandecchi vs Oceane Dodintennis · moneyline	Oceane Dodin	won	27¢ · +265	$23	+57
2026-09-21	Ankara: Aysegul Mert vs Isabella Shinikovatennis · moneyline	Isabella Shinikova	lost	26¢ · +285	$37	−37
2026-09-21	St. Tropez: David Goffin vs Mark Lajal