Public evidence record

0x1c3e…d412

0x1c3ec2cc7ac57b75e46b7069611e2ca4d485d412

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.0%232 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.7%$18,736 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.64%228 pre-event fills

Settlement record

115-100Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−14.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 232 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.3% to +3.3%

232 closed positions · 396 taker fills · $18,736 deployed

Typical position $52 (median) · closing line value measured over 228 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball188 closed93–81-3.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-19	Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline	Milwaukee Brewers	won	62¢ · -163	$51	+27
2026-08-18	Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline	Atlanta Braves	lost	54¢ · -117	$50	−50
2026-08-16	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline	Houston Astros	lost	54¢ · -117	$52	−52
2026-08-16	Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline	Boston Red Sox	lost	51¢ · -104