Public evidence record

autistocrat

0x1ca398b4627e086322ce5ecb2932f64c47d49613

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.5%1,550 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.5%$341,089 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.30%264 pre-event fills

Settlement record

875-496-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−55.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,550 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.7% to -0.4%

1,550 closed positions · 3,235 taker fills · $341,089 deployed

Typical position $123 (median) · closing line value measured over 264 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis480 closed269–151–2-2.5%
Baseball418 closed238–128-4.5%
Esports353 closed199–118–2-4.1%
Soccer204 closed113–71-7.1%
Basketball64 closed36–20-5.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-02	Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	OG	lost	69¢ · -220	$13	−13
2026-11-02	Spread: Ducks (-3.5)hockey · spreads	Senators	won	74¢ · -288	$10	+3
2026-11-02	Senators vs. Duckshockey · moneyline	Senators	lost	69¢ · -223	$15	−14
2026-11-02	Los Angeles FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals	Under	lost	77¢ · -335	$51