Public evidence record

0x1d56…1c7d

0x1d56287f73a5687401a8a1af6461d9e508d81c7d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.9%271 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.3%$15,449 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.32%174 pre-event fills

Settlement record

102-165Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−37.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 271 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -16.7% to +6.8%

271 closed positions · 356 taker fills · $15,449 deployed

Typical position $50 (median) · closing line value measured over 174 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$506

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes

entry 55¢ · -124now 56¢ · -128+0.7 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer251 closed95–153-4.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Combo: DPR Korea — Spread: DPR Korea (-1.5) + Yes — Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · combo	—	lost	38¢ · +162	$20	−20
2026-09-21	Combo: Yes — Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will DPR Korea win on 2026-09-20?soccer · combo	—	lost	52¢ · -110	$40	−40
2026-09-21	Combo: Inter Miami CF — Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) + DPR Korea — Spread: DPR Korea (-1.5)soccer · combo	—	lost	26¢ · +283	$20	−20
2026-09-21