Public evidence record

Ru386

0x1d603dad31fac599c1de6b6002d066993460453d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-7.4%3,399 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.8%$2,538,453 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.37%2,864 pre-event fills

Settlement record

2037-1265-21Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−169.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,399 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.9% to -4.8%

3,399 closed positions · 9,876 taker fills · $2,538,453 deployed

Typical position $205 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,864 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer1,304 closed820–456–1-6.2%
Tennis752 closed414–319–9-11.1%
Baseball625 closed399–214-5.0%
Basketball506 closed285–188–10-4.7%
Football103 closed57–43–1-9.2%
Hockey62 closed34–26-4.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-03	China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsatennis · moneyline	Xinran Sun	won	60¢ · -150	$102	+65
2026-10-03	Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-03?soccer · moneyline	No	lost	64¢ · -178	$204	—
2026-09-26	Wake Forest vs. Louisvillefootball · moneyline	Louisville	lost	62¢ · -167	$200	−200
2026-09-22	St. Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Tristan Schoolkatetennis · moneyline	Matteo Martineau	won	53¢ · -113