Public evidence record

Ru386

0x1d603dad31fac599c1de6b6002d066993460453d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-7.2%3,377 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.7%$2,532,806 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.27%2,732 pre-event fills

Settlement record

2027-1253-21Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−166.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,377 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.7% to -4.6%

3,377 closed positions · 9,840 taker fills · $2,532,806 deployed

Typical position $205 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,732 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer1,303 closed819–456–1-6.2%
Tennis744 closed411–314–9-10.8%
Baseball624 closed398–214-4.9%
Basketball506 closed285–188–10-4.7%
Football91 closed52–36–1-7.6%
Hockey62 closed34–26-3.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Singapore Open: Kristina Mladenovic vs Nao Hibinotennis · moneyline	Nao Hibino	won	66¢ · -197	$305	+147
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Polina Kudermetovatennis · moneyline	Polina Kudermetova	lost	36¢ · +178	$103	−103
2026-09-21	W50 Nanao: Moeka Miyata vs Remika Ohashitennis · moneyline	Moeka Miyata	lost	52¢ · -108	$102	−102
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Xinxin Yao vs Maya Jointtennis · moneyline	Xinxin Yao	lost