Public evidence record

bonneville

0x1eb9734e6e3879aad4ef679b29f3f5c663752e4c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 5, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.0%351 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.5%$62,265 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.03%464 pre-event fills

Settlement record

243-101-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−9.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 351 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.7% to +1.7%

351 closed positions · 518 taker fills · $62,265 deployed

Typical position $26 (median) · closing line value measured over 464 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$16

Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?

Yes

entry 71¢ · -245now 75¢ · -292+3.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis243 closed151–87–3-5.4%
Soccer102 closed89–11-3.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-05	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotovtennis · moneyline	Martin Damm	lost	67¢ · -203	$10	−10
2026-10-04	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvilitennis · moneyline	Nikoloz Basilashvili	won	69¢ · -223	$8	+3
2026-10-04	Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?soccer · moneyline	No	won	47¢ · +113	$8	—
2026-10-04	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won