value$51
Bologna FC to win the second half?
Yes
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Public evidence record
0x1ebdb76fc950937cb7432261bc2277aed09121cd
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Oct 3, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
+12.4%275 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
+7.3%$28,026 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
+16.65%430 pre-event fillsSettlement record
117-120-36Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−9.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 275 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -0.2% to +24.9%
275 closed positions · 578 taker fills · $28,026 deployed
Typical position $41 (median) · closing line value measured over 430 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Bologna FC to win the second half?
Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 90 sports · 10 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Cloud Dawning | lost | 7¢ · +1436 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-03 | Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolttennis · moneyline | Alex Bolt | lost | 42¢ · +136 | $445 | −445 |
| 2026-10-03 | Rangers vs. Red Wings: O/U 2.5hockey · totals | Under | won | 45¢ · +122 | $103 | +119 |
| 2026-10-02 | Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs MORROW - Map 2 Winner |
| MORROW |
| lost |
| 19¢ · +428 |
| $105 |
| +2 |
| 2026-10-02 | Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs MORROW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsesports · moneyline | Fire Flux Esports | won | 45¢ · +120 | $103 | +117 |
| 2026-10-02 | Set 2 Winner: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovictennis · tennis set winner | Yunchaokete Bu | lost | 37¢ · +172 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-02 | Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs OldMix - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Eternal Fire Academy | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $309 | −309 |
| 2026-10-02 | Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Group Cesports · moneyline | Eternal Fire Academy | lost | 50¢ · +100 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-02 | Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs OldMix - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Eternal Fire Academy | won | 50¢ · +100 | $205 | +195 |
| 2026-10-02 | Anguilla vs. Antigua and Barbuda: O/U 3.5totals · Non-sports | Over | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-02 | Anguilla vs. Antigua and Barbuda: O/U 2.5totals · Non-sports | Over | won | 64¢ · -178 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-10-01 | Counter-Strike: Revenge vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Besports · moneyline | Revenge | lost | 25¢ · +296 | $240 | −240 |
| 2026-10-01 | Counter-Strike: maybe vs eternal premium (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsesports · moneyline | eternal premium | lost | 23¢ · +336 | $19 | −19 |
| 2026-10-01 | Counter-Strike: Revenge vs Passion Academy - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Passion Academy | won | 98¢ · -5322 | $20 | +0 |
| 2026-10-01 | Counter-Strike: Revenge vs Passion Academy - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Revenge | lost | 38¢ · +160 | $244 | −244 |
| 2026-10-01 | Counter-Strike: maybe vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | eternal premium | won | 31¢ · +221 | $103 | +217 |
| 2026-10-01 | Dota 2: Team Kinetix vs Cloud Dawning (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Cloud Dawning | lost | 46¢ · +119 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-10-01 | Dota 2: Team Kinetix vs Cloud Dawning - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Kinetix | lost | 31¢ · +227 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-10-01 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munartennis · moneyline | Jaume Munar | won | 30¢ · +232 | $114 | +251 |
| 2026-10-01 | Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stageesports · moneyline | MEIA NOITE | won | 49¢ · +103 | $295 | +290 |
| 2026-10-01 | LoL: Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Vietnam | lost | 27¢ · +271 | $59 | −59 |
| 2026-09-30 | Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | METANOIA WOLVES | lost | 46¢ · +119 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-30 | Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1937 | $52 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Kinetix (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Ivory | lost | 21¢ · +383 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-09-30 | Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsesports · moneyline | BIG Academy | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $411 | −411 |
| 2026-09-30 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs mellren (BO5) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Leo Team | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-30 | Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Kinetix (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Team Kinetix | won | 46¢ · +118 | $41 | +46 |
| 2026-09-30 | Counter-Strike: Sangal vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | KUUSAMO.gg | lost | 15¢ · +581 | $42 | −42 |
| 2026-09-30 | Jingshan (Doubles): Detiuc/Khromacheva vs Lee/Yetennis · moneyline | Lee/Ye | won | 69¢ · -219 | $5 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Yangon Galacticos | won | 36¢ · +180 | $93 | +159 |
| 2026-09-30 | Anguilla vs. Aruba: O/U 2.5totals · Non-sports | Over | lost | 21¢ · +383 | $34 | −34 |
| 2026-09-29 | Anguilla vs. Aruba: O/U 1.5totals · Non-sports | Over | won | 62¢ · -165 | $10 | +6 |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Aruba win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 81¢ · -439 | $202 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs ALKA - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | MEIA NOITE | lost | 22¢ · +361 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-29 | Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Elite Klan (BO3) - United21 Group Desports · moneyline | Elite Klan | lost | 9¢ · +960 | $146 | +9 |
| 2026-09-29 | Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Elite Klan - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Elite Klan | won | 18¢ · +449 | $21 | +89 |
| 2026-09-29 | Campos vs. Schwaerzler: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5tennis · tennis first set totals | Under | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-29 | Set Handicap: Joel Schwaerzler (-1.5) vs Alberto Barroso Campos (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Joel Schwaerzler | won | 60¢ · -152 | $1 | +1 |
| 2026-09-29 | Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs STATE (BO3) - United21 Group Desports · moneyline | WRAITH PCIFIC | won | 31¢ · +221 | $502 | +1,057 |
| 2026-09-29 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Spirit | lost | 10¢ · +920 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-27 | Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan Casanovatennis · moneyline | Hernan Casanova | lost | 50¢ · +101 | $513 | −513 |
| 2026-09-25 | China PR vs. Turkmenistan: O/U 8.5soccer · totals | Under | push | 52¢ · -110 | $102 | −7 |
| 2026-09-20 | Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Michael Mmohtennis · moneyline | Darwin Blanch | won | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | +102 |
| 2026-09-14 | CD Huachipato leading at halftime?soccer · soccer halftime result | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $11 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | CD Coquimbo Unido leading at halftime?soccer · soccer halftime result | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +13337 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashkatennis · moneyline | Ilya Ivashka | push | 59¢ · -142 | $1,568 | −259 |
| 2026-09-13 | Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashkatennis · moneyline | Marat Sharipov | push | 61¢ · -153 | $917 | −174 |
| 2026-09-13 | Sharipov vs. Ivashka: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5tennis · tennis first set totals | Over | push | 88¢ · -710 | $2,012 | −872 |
| 2026-09-09 | Set Handicap: Khachanov (-2.5) vs Blockx (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Khachanov | push | 26¢ · +285 | $104 | +89 |
| 2026-09-07 | Turkiye vs. Germanymoneyline · Non-sports | Germany | won | 55¢ · -122 | $31 | +24 |
| 2026-09-04 | MODUS Super Series: Martyn Turner vs Richard McKeemoneyline · Non-sports | Richard McKee | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $56 | −56 |
| 2026-09-03 | LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | SU Esports | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2nd Half Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)soccer · second half spreads | 1. FC Köln | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2nd Half Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)soccer · second half spreads | Ipswich Town FC | won | 67¢ · -205 | $102 | +47 |
| 2026-09-02 | W50 Leiria: Carla Tomai vs Celia Cervino Ruiztennis · moneyline | Carla Tomai | lost | 24¢ · +309 | $153 | −153 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2nd Half Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)soccer · second half spreads | Real Betis Balompié | won | 78¢ · -355 | $505 | +136 |
| 2026-09-01 | LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | PCIFIC | won | 48¢ · +107 | $103 | +104 |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovictennis · moneyline | Mariano Navone | won | 96¢ · -2344 | $1,102 | +45 |
| 2026-08-29 | LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffsesports · moneyline | Bushido Wildcats | won | 40¢ · +150 | $206 | +295 |
| 2026-08-29 | Monterrey Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Elise Mertenstennis · moneyline | Elise Mertens | won | 42¢ · +138 | $309 | +406 |
| 2026-08-27 | Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Kaleido Gaming | lost | 26¢ · +281 | $4 | −4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 30¢ · +236 | $715 | — |
| 2026-08-15 | Tottenham Hotspur vs. TSG Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 13¢ · +655 | $1 | +7 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tottenham Hotspur vs. TSG Hoffenheim · Spread Tottenham Hotspur (-1.5)soccer · spreads | TSG Hoffenheim | won | 49¢ · +104 | $10 | +10 |
| 2026-08-15 | Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors · Spread Recoleta FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | CA Boca Juniors | won | 68¢ · -212 | $6 | +3 |
| 2026-08-14 | Will Denis Lazavik Win EWC 2026 Chess?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 19¢ · +422 | $73 | — |
| 2026-08-05 | Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP MontrealNon-sports | Yes | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $207 | — |
| 2026-08-04 | Denver Summit FC vs. North Carolina Courage: O/U 13.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners | Under | won | 98¢ · -4315 | $100 | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Will Bologna FC win on 2026-08-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 99¢ · -7012 | $1,601 | — |
| 2026-08-01 | Exact Score: Bologna FC 3 - 1 SC Cambuur?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 95¢ · -1980 | $10 | — |
| 2026-08-01 | Exact Score: Bologna FC 3 - 0 SC Cambuur?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 95¢ · -1900 | $1 | — |
| 2026-08-01 | Bologna FC vs. SC Cambuur: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $100 | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Bologna FC vs. SC Cambuur: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $100 | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Bologna FC leading at halftime?soccer · soccer halftime result | Yes | won | 98¢ · -5698 | $100 | — |
| 2026-07-31 | FC Goal to score first vs. ESTAC Troyes?soccer · soccer first to score | Yes | won | 95¢ · -1719 | $100 | — |
| 2026-07-31 | ESTAC Troyes vs. FC Goal: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 91¢ · -1044 | $100 | +9 |
| 2026-07-31 | ESTAC Troyes vs. FC Goal: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 99¢ · -8250 | $100 | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Will ESTAC Troyes win on 2026-07-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -5402 | $100 | — |
| 2026-07-31 | Exact Score: Any Other Score?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 49¢ · +104 | $52 | — |
| 2026-07-31 | ESTAC Troyes vs. FC Goal: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 94¢ · -1714 | $100 | +6 |
| 2026-07-31 | ESTAC Troyes vs. FC Goal: 1st Half O/U 2.5soccer · first half totals | Under | lost | 20¢ · +403 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-07-29 | Maharani Trophy KSCA T20: Kalyani Bengaluru Blasters Women vs Mysore Warriors Womensoccer · moneyline | Kalyani Bengaluru Blasters Women | lost | 17¢ · +487 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Kuwait Kerala Premier League T20: Palakad Patriots vs Ishaq11 Kasaragodsoccer · moneyline | Palakad Patriots | won | 14¢ · +617 | $1 | +6 |
| 2026-07-23 | Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 26¢ · +292 | $12 | — |
| 2026-07-23 | Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 34¢ · +194 | $3 | — |
| 2026-07-21 | Generali Open (Doubles): Herbert/Krawietz vs Neumayer/Schwaerzlertennis · moneyline | Neumayer/Schwaerzler | lost | 19¢ · +420 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Generali Open (Doubles): Balaji/Goransson vs Frantzen/Haasetennis · moneyline | Frantzen/Haase | lost | 19¢ · +420 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Yulia Putintsevatennis · moneyline | Yulia Putintseva | lost | 19¢ · +431 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Will Mgarr United FC win on 2026-07-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 39¢ · +156 | $1 | — |
| 2026-07-19 | Palermo (Doubles): Drazic/Shinikova vs Hennemann/Tothtennis · moneyline | Hennemann/Toth | won | 17¢ · +487 | $1 | +5 |
| 2026-07-19 | Bloomfield Hills (Doubles): Hilderbrand/Tracy vs Goldhoff/Harpertennis · moneyline | Goldhoff/Harper | lost | 16¢ · +520 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Winnipeg (Doubles): Broom/Jones vs Broady/Mynenitennis · moneyline | Broady/Myneni | won | 15¢ · +567 | $1 | +6 |
| 2026-07-19 | Winnipeg (Doubles): Friend/Isomura vs Ayeni/Bianchitennis · moneyline | Ayeni/Bianchi | won | 21¢ · +385 | $4 | +15 |
| 2026-07-18 | Zug (Doubles): Brunold/Schoen vs Banthia/Donskitennis · moneyline | Banthia/Donski | won | 43¢ · +133 | $2 | +3 |
| 2026-07-18 | Zug (Doubles): Prashanth/Ramanathan vs Dietrich/Hueslertennis · moneyline | Dietrich/Huesler | won | 21¢ · +367 | $7 | +25 |
| 2026-07-16 | Athens Open (Doubles): Chan/Kato vs Chong/Pitertennis · moneyline | Chong/Piter | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bunschoten (Doubles): Romios/Uesugi vs Barton/Kumstattennis · moneyline | Barton/Kumstat | lost | 17¢ · +506 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-07-15 | Swedish Open (Doubles): Arribage/Cabral vs Paris/Vallejotennis · moneyline | Paris/Vallejo | lost | 17¢ · +487 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bunschoten (Doubles): Hermans/Merino vs Huang/Zhengtennis · moneyline | Huang/Zheng | lost | 17¢ · +487 | $1 | −1 |