Public evidence record

moon21129

0x1fdeb6a937200cb047b04c63eb61cda7ed98095b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.2%406 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.0%$59,212 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.04%244 pre-event fills

Settlement record

223-129Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−21.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 406 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.5% to +2.1%

406 closed positions · 1,588 taker fills · $59,212 deployed

Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 244 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer298 closed166–98-2.5%
Esports51 closed30–17-7.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Querétaro FC vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score	Yes	won	57¢ · -133	$20	+15
2026-09-21	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	exited	82¢ · -456	$20	—
2026-09-21	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	63¢ · -170	$10	—
2026-09-21	Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	59¢ · -144