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Public evidence record
0x2439e10acb1f3f49f8ecdb7190c82a34149a3ed7
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-6.4%444 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-4.8%$77,083 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.62%133 pre-event fillsSettlement record
178-133Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−23.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 444 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.2% to -1.7%
444 closed positions · 1,632 taker fills · $77,083 deployed
Typical position $85 (median) · closing line value measured over 133 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -223 | $102 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $56 | +1 |
| 2026-11-05 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 55¢ · -122 | $56 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? |
| Yes |
| won |
| 61¢ · -156 |
| $63 |
| — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $204 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $62 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $91 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 58¢ · -138 | $123 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 47¢ · +113 | $51 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $51 | — |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Ramazan Temirov | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $221 | −221 |
| 2026-10-24 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $93 | −93 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Losene Keita | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $67 | −67 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Azamat Murzakanov | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $132 | −132 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Nikita Krylov | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Grant Dawson | won | 90¢ · -882 | $493 | +48 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Nurullo Aliev | exited | 51¢ · -104 | $67 | −49 |
| 2026-10-24 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | lost | 67¢ · -201 | $68 | −44 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Abubakar Vagaev | won | 60¢ · -150 | $66 | +13 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Daniel Santos | won | 52¢ · -108 | $51 | +45 |
| 2026-10-21 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 41¢ · +144 | $51 | — |
| 2026-10-20 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 58¢ · -138 | $61 | — |
| 2026-10-20 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 33¢ · +203 | $62 | — |
| 2026-10-18 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $62 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 68¢ · -214 | $249 | — |
| 2026-10-11 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 28¢ · +257 | $73 | — |
| 2026-10-10 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $143 | — |
| 2026-10-10 | Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 62¢ · -163 | $91 | +53 |
| 2026-10-10 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $203 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Cuba win on 2026-10-02?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $303 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Will France win on 2026-10-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 65¢ · -182 | $243 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 28¢ · +254 | $221 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $345 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | Will Panama win on 2026-09-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 65¢ · -189 | $711 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | Will India vs. Panama end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 33¢ · +203 | $295 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | Will Australia win on 2026-09-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 54¢ · -117 | $205 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 68¢ · -209 | $203 | −49 |
| 2026-09-25 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $255 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Danieltennis · moneyline | Fabian Marozsan | won | 41¢ · +144 | $41 | −5 |
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarinotennis · moneyline | Alejandro Tabilo | lost | 39¢ · +158 | $142 | −142 |
| 2026-09-25 | Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Etcheverrytennis · moneyline | Kyrian Jacquet | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $251 | +12 |
| 2026-09-25 | Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Etcheverrytennis · moneyline | Tomas Etcheverry | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $51 | −46 |
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonegotennis · moneyline | Lorenzo Sonego | lost | 85¢ · -567 | $101 | −10 |
| 2026-09-24 | Combo: Yes — Netherlands vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?soccer · combo | — | lost | 29¢ · +248 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-24 | Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-09-24?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 62¢ · -163 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 60¢ · -150 | $408 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -124 | $153 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | Will Malta win on 2026-09-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 44¢ · +127 | $95 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-09-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 89¢ · -809 | $88 | — |
| 2026-09-23 | Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women win on 2026-09-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $42 | — |
| 2026-09-23 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $86 | — |
| 2026-09-23 | Ankara: Elena Pridankina vs Ksenia Zaytsevatennis · moneyline | Ksenia Zaytseva | won | 85¢ · -567 | $91 | −5 |
| 2026-09-23 | Ankara: Elena Pridankina vs Ksenia Zaytsevatennis · moneyline | Elena Pridankina | lost | 59¢ · -142 | $373 | −283 |
| 2026-09-23 | Porto: Matilde Jorge vs Sinja Kraustennis · moneyline | Matilde Jorge | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $197 | −197 |
| 2026-09-23 | Porto: Matilde Jorge vs Sinja Kraustennis · moneyline | Sinja Kraus | won | 69¢ · -225 | $754 | −184 |
| 2026-09-23 | Plovdiv 4: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Calvin Hemerytennis · moneyline | Oriol Roca Batalla | lost | 76¢ · -319 | $607 | −74 |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotovtennis · moneyline | Shintaro Mochizuki | won | 69¢ · -223 | $152 | +65 |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Suntennis · moneyline | Fajing Sun | won | 58¢ · -137 | $173 | −14 |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Lloyd Harris vs Alexis Galarneautennis · moneyline | Lloyd Harris | won | 95¢ · -2057 | $745 | +34 |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu Open: Sebastian Baez vs Jenson Brooksbytennis · moneyline | Jenson Brooksby | won | 84¢ · -511 | $803 | −59 |
| 2026-09-23 | Singapore Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Maja Chwalinskatennis · moneyline | Maja Chwalinska | won | 94¢ · -1563 | $757 | +45 |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Hayato Matsuokatennis · moneyline | Taro Daniel | won | 81¢ · -426 | $626 | +115 |
| 2026-09-22 | Buenos Aires 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboiantennis · moneyline | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $102 | −57 |
| 2026-09-22 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 58¢ · -138 | $101 | −8 |
| 2026-09-22 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 48¢ · +108 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-22 | Tolentino: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Laura Pigossitennis · moneyline | Ekaterine Gorgodze | won | 96¢ · -2338 | $902 | −188 |
| 2026-09-22 | Ankara: Katarina Kuzmova vs Cagla Buyukakcaytennis · moneyline | Katarina Kuzmova | lost | 88¢ · -733 | $201 | −5 |
| 2026-09-22 | Tolentino: Nuria Brancaccio vs Maria Lourdes Carletennis · moneyline | Maria Lourdes Carle | lost | 84¢ · -517 | $88 | −45 |
| 2026-09-22 | Ankara: Martyna Kubka vs Berfu Cengiztennis · moneyline | Martyna Kubka | lost | 27¢ · +277 | $55 | −52 |
| 2026-09-22 | Plovdiv 4: Nikita Mashtakov vs Maxim Mrvatennis · moneyline | Maxim Mrva | won | 55¢ · -122 | $357 | +213 |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotovtennis · moneyline | Luca Castelnuovo | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $102 | −76 |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotovtennis · moneyline | Pavel Kotov | exited | 62¢ · -163 | $192 | +8 |
| 2026-09-22 | Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sofia Costoulastennis · moneyline | Tatiana Prozorova | exited | 77¢ · -335 | $202 | +57 |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Bernard Tomic vs Rigele Tetennis · moneyline | Rigele Te | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-09-22 | Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sofia Costoulastennis · moneyline | Sofia Costoulas | exited | 92¢ · -1150 | $92 | −5 |
| 2026-09-22 | Korea Open: Emerson Jones vs Yexin Matennis · moneyline | Yexin Ma | won | 61¢ · -157 | $89 | +52 |
| 2026-09-22 | Korea Open: Emerson Jones vs Yexin Matennis · moneyline | Emerson Jones | lost | 70¢ · -233 | $73 | −31 |
| 2026-09-22 | Giants vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Rams | won | 97¢ · -2958 | $960 | +20 |
| 2026-09-21 | Tolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmetevatennis · moneyline | Oksana Selekhmeteva | won | 56¢ · -127 | $58 | +43 |
| 2026-09-21 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroskatennis · moneyline | Kaitlin Quevedo | won | 38¢ · +163 | $40 | +62 |
| 2026-09-21 | Singapore Open: Storm Hunter vs Joanna Garlandtennis · moneyline | Joanna Garland | won | 82¢ · -468 | $178 | −2 |
| 2026-09-21 | Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linettetennis · moneyline | Magda Linette | lost | 85¢ · -567 | $353 | −353 |
| 2026-09-21 | Plovdiv 4: Filip Misolic vs Sebastian Gimatennis · moneyline | Filip Misolic | lost | 61¢ · -159 | $668 | +17 |
| 2026-09-21 | Singapore Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Maja Chwalinskatennis · moneyline | Maja Chwalinska | exited | 87¢ · -669 | $295 | +42 |
| 2026-09-21 | Korea Open: Yue Yuan vs Da-Yeon Backtennis · moneyline | Yue Yuan | lost | 72¢ · -261 | $742 | −216 |
| 2026-09-21 | Korea Open: Yue Yuan vs Da-Yeon Backtennis · moneyline | Da-Yeon Back | won | 57¢ · -130 | $250 | −137 |
| 2026-09-21 | Korea Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Polina Kudermetovatennis · moneyline | Kamilla Rakhimova | won | 64¢ · -180 | $204 | +30 |
| 2026-09-21 | Korea Open: Xinxin Yao vs Maya Jointtennis · moneyline | Xinxin Yao | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $42 | −42 |
| 2026-09-21 | Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Moyuka Uchijimatennis · moneyline | Lanlana Tararudee | won | 89¢ · -809 | $101 | +12 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $255 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $306 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $308 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $308 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 70¢ · -233 | $218 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Buriram United win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 85¢ · -567 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC Seoul win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $138 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 70¢ · -229 | $72 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Alexandre Pantoja | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $139 | −66 |