Public evidence record

0x2439…3ed7

0x2439e10acb1f3f49f8ecdb7190c82a34149a3ed7

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.6%387 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.2%$63,020 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.70%112 pre-event fills

Settlement record

152-107Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−13.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 387 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.5% to +0.4%

387 closed positions · 1,445 taker fills · $63,020 deployed

Typical position $79 (median) · closing line value measured over 112 pre-event fills · 11% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$69

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-22?

Yes

entry 48¢ · +108now 68¢ · -208+19.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis244 closed82–61-6.5%
MMA56 closed24–19-1.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroskatennis · moneyline	Kaitlin Quevedo	won	38¢ · +163	$40	+62
2026-09-21	Singapore Open: Storm Hunter vs Joanna Garlandtennis · moneyline	Joanna Garland	won	82¢ · -468	$178	−2
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linettetennis · moneyline	Magda Linette	lost	85¢ · -567	$353	−353
2026-09-21	Plovdiv 4: Filip Misolic vs Sebastian Gima