Public evidence record

0x2792…c4f6

0x2792fc28811277f12a54e32bd8188be02c2dc4f6

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.0%1,866 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+4.3%$485,637 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.39%2,083 pre-event fills

Settlement record

943-916-7Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−40.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,866 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.6% to +1.6%

1,866 closed positions · 3,958 taker fills · $485,637 deployed

Typical position $90 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,083 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

9 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$169

Spread: Pistons (-7.5)

Pistons

entry 51¢ · -104now 53¢ · -111+1.5 pts

Open

value$145

Spread: Raptors (-5.5)

Magic

entry 49¢ · +104now 50¢ · +102+0.5 pts

Open

value$142

Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5

Over

entry 48¢ · +108now 49¢ · +106+0.5 pts

Open

value$129

Spread: Raptors (-6.5)

Raptors

entry 46¢ · +117now 47¢ · +115+0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball1,233 closed629–604-5.3%
Basketball252 closed147–105+2.8%
Esports191 closed75–113–3-0.9%
Football106 closed64–42-4.5%
Soccer58 closed15–43-12.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-05	Heat vs. Warriorsbasketball · moneyline	Warriors	won	72¢ · -257	$10	+4
2026-11-04	Hawks vs. Wizards · Spread Hawks (-1.5)basketball · spreads	Hawks	won	55¢ · -122	$177	+136
2026-11-04	Hawks vs. Wizardsbasketball · moneyline	Hawks	won	56¢ · -128	$198	+146
2026-11-04	Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michiganfootball · moneyline	Eastern Michigan	lost	51¢ · -104	$313

0x2792…c4f6

Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

Pistons

Magic

Over

Raptors

By sport

Position log

Under

Kansas

South Alabama

Turma do Pagode

Over