Public evidence record

FuguetaLDS

0x282b8409f06e67bdf41493e9ba6236b63195cc76

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.9%2,327 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.0%$122,427 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.77%1,462 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1146-1073-9Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−79.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,327 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.7% to +0.8%

2,327 closed positions · 3,353 taker fills · $122,427 deployed

Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,462 pre-event fills · 23% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

7 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$98

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

FaZe

entry 29¢ · +245now 28¢ · +251−0.5 pts

Open

value$151

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)

FaZe

entry 57¢ · -133now 57¢ · -135+0.5 pts

Open

value$76

Spread: Commanders (-6.5)

Commanders

entry 47¢ · +113now 37¢ · +174−10.5 ptsboth sides

Open

value$111

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Team Falcons

entry 56¢ · -127

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports1,473 closed728–672–9-2.5%
Soccer290 closed144–140-5.6%
Baseball153 closed69–79-6.7%
Football143 closed70–65-4.4%
Basketball105 closed56–41-0.8%
Tennis104 closed48–50-7.5%
Hockey58 closed31–25-2.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	FURIA	won	63¢ · -170	$189	+111
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffsesports · moneyline	PARIVISION	lost	60¢ · -150	$39	−39
2026-11-06	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)esports · map handicap	PARIVISION	won	58¢ · -138	$39	+27
2026-11-06	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline	Bilibili Gaming	won

FuguetaLDS

Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

FaZe

FaZe

Commanders

Team Falcons

By sport

Position log

Eagles

Commanders

Commanders