Public evidence record

FuguetaLDS

0x282b8409f06e67bdf41493e9ba6236b63195cc76

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $20.33). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.4%1,353 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.0%$33,028 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.70%818 pre-event fills

Settlement record

671-633-5Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−98.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,353 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.1% to -0.8%

1,353 closed positions · 2,053 taker fills · $33,028 deployed

Typical position $20 (median) · closing line value measured over 818 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$21

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs

3DMAX

entry 43¢ · +133now 46¢ · +120+2.5 pts

Open

value$23

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C

Paper Rex

entry 57¢ · -133now 57¢ · -135+0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports801 closed407–363–5-4.6%
Soccer218 closed111–102-4.7%
Baseball151 closed67–79-7.1%
Tennis103 closed47–50-7.4%
Hockey55 closed28–25-2.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Dota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Hokori	won	77¢ · -335	$25	+7
2026-09-21	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Team Yandex	won	66¢ · -194	$20	+10
2026-09-21	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Sangal - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	FOKUS	lost	54¢ · -117	$30	−30
2026-09-21	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	Team Yandex	won