Public evidence record

MMzz398

0x29788995bd3d54faec1c4cf8b37f564793deb511

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-20.9%1,078 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.5%$1,588,303 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+10.82%79 pre-event fills

Settlement record

357-639-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−88.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,078 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -26.6% to -15.2%

1,078 closed positions · 5,970 taker fills · $1,588,303 deployed

Typical position $557 (median) · closing line value measured over 79 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis812 closed265–494–1-20.9%
Basketball150 closed53–82-11.5%
Baseball97 closed34–51-9.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-16	Phan Thiet 4: Kenta Miyoshi vs Philip Sekulictennis · moneyline	Philip Sekulic	won	24¢ · +317	$16	+47
2026-09-08	Shanghai: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Denis Yevseyevtennis · moneyline	Petr Bar Biryukov	lost	30¢ · +230	$303	−303
2026-09-08	Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Francesco Fortitennis · moneyline	Francesco Forti	lost	13¢ · +653	$328	−328
2026-09-08	Shanghai: Rei Sakamoto vs Ji-Sung Nam