Public evidence record

bitsniper

0x29ce47e687566c8ce9b1b92c126f859f35a9b53b

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $9.80). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.3%1,238 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.1%$99,853 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample4 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1168-38Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−29.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,238 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -2.2% to -0.4%

1,238 closed positions · 2,228 taker fills · $99,853 deployed

Typical position $10 (median) · closing line value measured over 4 pre-event fills · 8% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

5 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$50

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2?

No

entry 98¢ · -4425now 100¢+2.2 pts

Open

value$50

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 2?

No

entry 98¢ · -4425now 99¢+1.6 pts

Open

value$50

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on November 2?

No

entry 98¢ · -4875now 100¢+2.0 pts

Open

value$50

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2?

No

entry 98¢ · -6111now 100¢+1.4 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball514 closed485–10-1.2%
Tennis417 closed391–20-3.4%
Basketball208 closed199–6-2.6%
Hockey61 closed57–1-2.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 62 sports · 38 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-02	Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Machactennis · moneyline	Tomas Machac	won	97¢ · -3233	$5	+0
2026-11-02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 3?Non-sports	No	won	98¢ · -5163	$49	—
2026-11-02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on November 3?Non-sports	No	won	99¢ · -6567	$49	—
2026-11-02	Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs