Public evidence record

bitsniper

0x29ce47e687566c8ce9b1b92c126f859f35a9b53b

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $9.84). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.7%960 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.3%$94,174 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample3 pre-event fills

Settlement record

903-33Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−24.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 960 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -2.8% to -0.7%

960 closed positions · 1,859 taker fills · $94,174 deployed

Typical position $10 (median) · closing line value measured over 3 pre-event fills · 5% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$24

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?

No

entry 98¢ · -5748now 98¢ · -4551−0.4 pts

Open

value$23

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 23?

No

entry 98¢ · -4900now 96¢ · -2400−2.0 pts

Open

value$23

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 23?

No

entry 98¢ · -4900now 95¢ · -1900−3.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball479 closed454–10-1.3%
Tennis335 closed310–19-4.0%
Basketball142 closed137–4-2.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 57 sports · 43 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Alina Korneeva vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewtennis · moneyline	Alina Korneeva	won	97¢ · -3348	$5	+0
2026-09-21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21?Non-sports	No	won	98¢ · -4900	$24	—
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Elvina Kalievatennis · moneyline	Katie Volynets	won	98¢ · -5782	$6	+0
2026-09-21	Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces