Public evidence record

rizaSZN

0x2a967777e922f4606dca4ce18d9a53845871b382

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $23.53). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

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Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.3%1,368 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.0%$38,864 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.50%1,283 pre-event fills

Settlement record

707-622-18Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−27.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,368 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.2% to +3.6%

1,368 closed positions · 1,562 taker fills · $38,864 deployed

Typical position $24 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,283 pre-event fills · 6% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

5 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$11

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?

Yes

entry 59¢ · -144now 8¢ · +1150−51.0 pts

Open

value$42

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes

entry 55¢ · -122now 41¢ · +147−14.5 pts

Open

value$3

Iran full airspace closure by September 30?

Yes

entry 12¢ · +733now 4¢ · +2567−8.2 pts

Open

value$58

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Yes

entry 61¢ · -156now 69¢ · -217

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball471 closed234–237-4.1%
Esports369 closed205–150–6-2.7%
Tennis222 closed115–95–10+3.9%
Basketball121 closed57–56-5.2%
Soccer116 closed61–52–1-5.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 55 sports · 45 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-19	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	FURIA	lost	35¢ · +186	$12	−12
2026-09-19	LSU vs. Ole Missfootball · moneyline	LSU	lost	59¢ · -144	$8	−8
2026-09-19	SMU vs. Louisvillefootball · moneyline	Louisville	won	54¢ · -117	$9	+7
2026-09-19	Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline