Public evidence record

rizaSZN

0x2a967777e922f4606dca4ce18d9a53845871b382

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $23.45). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.3%1,377 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.0%$38,995 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.51%1,342 pre-event fills

Settlement record

713-625-18Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−27.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,377 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.2% to +3.7%

1,377 closed positions · 1,568 taker fills · $38,995 deployed

Typical position $23 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,342 pre-event fills · 5% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball476 closed237–239-3.9%
Esports370 closed205–151–6-3.2%
Tennis222 closed115–95–10+3.7%
Basketball121 closed57–56-5.4%
Soccer119 closed64–52–1-5.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 47 sports · 53 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Non-sports	Yes	exited	55¢ · -122	$58	—
2026-10-21	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Non-sports	No	exited	48¢ · +108	$18	—
2026-10-21	Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Non-sports	Yes	exited	88¢ · -733	$34	—
2026-10-21