Public evidence record

jarvis-nan

0x2ca2ceab8ffad9289446372de3db22fa1d811798

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $20.13). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-0.2%536 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.2%$22,659 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.81%251 pre-event fills

Settlement record

73-89-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−31.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 536 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.1% to +3.7%

536 closed positions · 1,074 taker fills · $22,659 deployed

Typical position $20 (median) · closing line value measured over 251 pre-event fills · 15% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 0 sports · 0 non-sports · 100 unlabeled. Unlabeled means we have not matched that condition to market metadata yet — not that it was removed.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-27	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	lost	66¢ · -194	$26	−26
2026-08-27	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	won	72¢ · -257	$25	+9
2026-08-27	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	won	95¢ · -1900	$25	+1
2026-08-25	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	lost