Public evidence record

leodemattos

0x2d8a4b266a4daea330c933df55f25001083724c2

Not ranked. market maker (32% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.1%1,317 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.1%$54,031 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.53%685 pre-event fills

Settlement record

647-644-11Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−71.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,317 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.3% to +3.1%

1,317 closed positions · 1,692 taker fills · $54,031 deployed

Typical position $47 (median) · closing line value measured over 685 pre-event fills · 32% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports642 closed316–307–6-2.3%
Soccer250 closed123–126-2.0%
Tennis215 closed112–98–4-3.5%
Baseball173 closed81–91–1-4.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-12	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Playoffsesports · moneyline	Sinners	lost	38¢ · +163	$9	−9
2026-09-12	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline	No	lost	38¢ · +163	$9	—
2026-09-12	Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	27¢ · +270	$10	—
2026-09-12	US Lecce vs. AC Monza: O/U 8.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners	Over	won	50¢ · +102