Public evidence record

greyner

0x2da1e296796be933c357a6c650cdef38d714fb50

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.3%761 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.3%$888,584 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample11 pre-event fills

Settlement record

409-23Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−5.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 761 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -2.6% to +0.0%

761 closed positions · 1,562 taker fills · $888,584 deployed

Typical position $955 (median) · closing line value measured over 11 pre-event fills · 12% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis734 closed404–19-0.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-08	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsentennis · moneyline	Alex Michelsen	lost	76¢ · -317	$107	−107
2026-09-05	US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zhengtennis · moneyline	Madison Keys	lost	86¢ · -613	$600	−600
2026-09-05	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalovtennis · moneyline	Ben Shelton	won	84¢ · -525	$507	+92
2026-09-04	US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Linda Noskovatennis · moneyline	Linda Noskova	exited	96¢ · -2603