Public evidence record

ken5

0x2db8f5b0fc0ebc26e309321843492a1a62a9e042

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.1%2,314 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.7%$260,312 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.11%668 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1543-681-7Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−38.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,314 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.6% to -2.5%

2,314 closed positions · 3,432 taker fills · $260,312 deployed

Typical position $60 (median) · closing line value measured over 668 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$20

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

No

entry 52¢ · -108now 52¢ · -106−0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis1,419 closed975–376–6-2.8%
Basketball524 closed343–174-7.7%
Baseball127 closed86–39-5.4%
Hockey77 closed45–30-6.2%
Soccer68 closed36–28-8.4%
Football55 closed31–18-6.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline	Los Angeles Dodgers	won	68¢ · -212	$102	+45
2026-09-20	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	75¢ · -300	$101	—
2026-09-20	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	63¢ · -170	$102	—
2026-09-20	Singapore Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Viktoria Morvayovatennis · moneyline	Joanna Garland	won