Public evidence record

xifutloong3

0x2dc13c6bda81b202281e796953a7323de675b33c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-0.5%309 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+2.7%$6,855,638 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample24 pre-event fills

Settlement record

177-128Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−11.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 309 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.3% to +7.3%

309 closed positions · 754 taker fills · $6,855,638 deployed

Typical position $19,135 (median) · closing line value measured over 24 pre-event fills · 27% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$31186

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays

entry 47¢ · +114now 47¢ · +115−0.2 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball309 closed177–128-0.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline	Baltimore Orioles	lost	24¢ · +317	$25,950	−25,950
2026-09-20	New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline	Arizona Diamondbacks	won	40¢ · +150	$51,500	+73,500
2026-09-19	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline	Baltimore Orioles	lost	38¢ · +163	$51,550	−51,550
2026-09-18	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline	Pittsburgh Pirates	won