Public evidence record

lolopuyc

0x2e2d316226626fbcb1a34b42b726e5faf31f5116

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-16.2%191 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-12.0%$13,523 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-4.65%73 pre-event fills

Settlement record

46-137Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−50.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 191 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -28.2% to -4.1%

191 closed positions · 369 taker fills · $13,523 deployed

Typical position $60 (median) · closing line value measured over 73 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$101

Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?

Yes

entry 35¢ · +186now 36¢ · +182+0.5 pts

Open

value$101

Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?

Yes

entry 39¢ · +156now 40¢ · +153+0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball113 closed33–76-10.5%
Soccer58 closed9–46-14.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline	Baltimore Orioles	lost	24¢ · +317	$29	−29
2026-09-21	CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5soccer · totals	Under	lost	25¢ · +300	$21	−21
2026-09-20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5baseball · baseball team first five total	Under	won	45¢ · +122	$23	+27
2026-09-20	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · moneyline	Detroit Tigers	lost