Public evidence record

RCHUP2

0x2ed17c5026b12cac4570e30d6543f7471939caa2

Not ranked. market maker (59% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-13.1%979 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+9.5%$263,789 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample20 pre-event fills

Settlement record

235-674Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−35.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 979 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -20.8% to -5.4%

979 closed positions · 1,635 taker fills · $263,789 deployed

Typical position $127 (median) · closing line value measured over 20 pre-event fills · 59% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball342 closed65–241-11.4%
Tennis301 closed87–193-4.3%
Baseball195 closed41–151-19.6%
Esports79 closed25–45-4.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Xinxin Yao vs Maya Jointtennis · moneyline	Maya Joint	won	45¢ · +122	$822	+956
2026-09-21	Spread: KC (-5.5)football · spreads	KC	lost	49¢ · +104	$500	−500
2026-09-21	Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline	Chiefs	won	58¢ · -138	$500	+362
2026-09-21	Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Michael Mmohtennis · moneyline