Public evidence record

EmperorCS2

0x2f578e983bfce63208b317f36d531e7af9483e7a

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.0%2,344 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.2%$379,328 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.68%611 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1117-712-5Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−63.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,344 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -3.6% to +1.6%

2,344 closed positions · 4,701 taker fills · $379,328 deployed

Typical position $102 (median) · closing line value measured over 611 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$138

Set Handicap: Maria Sakkari (-1.5) vs Nao Hibino (+1.5)

Maria Sakkari

entry 67¢ · -202now 93¢ · -1329+26.2 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis1,218 closed510–362–4-4.5%
Esports1,084 closed588–333–1+1.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-23	Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 Winneresports · child moneyline	Luminosity	exited	50¢ · -100	$100	+53
2026-09-23	Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Luminosity	lost	66¢ · -194	$100	−100
2026-09-23	Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	3DMAX	won	42¢ · +137	$180	+0
2026-09-23	Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	3DMAX	won