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Public evidence record
0x306139d0268a09c3fb267d7d04461eeabe72dd00
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-5.7%137 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-1.0%$178,662 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.30%56 pre-event fillsSettlement record
53-64-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−7.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 137 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.8% to +4.5%
137 closed positions · 275 taker fills · $178,662 deployed
Typical position $396 (median) · closing line value measured over 56 pre-event fills · 7% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 53 sports · 47 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $23 | −23 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $12 | −1 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 52¢ · -108 | $12 | +10 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET |
| Up |
| won |
| 43¢ · +133 |
| $6 |
| +7 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 27¢ · +275 | $145 | −139 |
| 2026-09-17 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroskatennis · moneyline | Eva Lys | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $1,133 | −1,133 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $239 | −239 |
| 2026-09-16 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · moneyline | Detroit Tigers | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $292 | −292 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $221 | −221 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 39¢ · +156 | $91 | +131 |
| 2026-09-16 | Valencia: Guiomar Maristany vs Marina Bassols Riberatennis · moneyline | Marina Bassols Ribera | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $472 | −383 |
| 2026-09-16 | Combo: Andrea Lazaro Garcia — Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo + Thiago Monteiro — Szczecin: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thiago Monteiro + Oriol Roca Batalla — Biella: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Stefano Napolitano + Francesca Curmi — Valencia: Joelle Steur vs Francesca Curmitennis · combo | — | lost | 10¢ · +940 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 50¢ · -101 | $54 | +47 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-09-16 | Guangzhou: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Sergey Fomintennis · moneyline | Sergey Fomin | lost | 53¢ · -112 | $453 | −437 |
| 2026-09-16 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | Miami Marlins | won | 44¢ · +127 | $205 | +249 |
| 2026-09-14 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Metsbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | won | 49¢ · +104 | $210 | +208 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Titans — Jets vs. Titans + Bills — Bills vs. Texans + Ravens — Ravens vs. Coltsfootball · combo | — | lost | 16¢ · +510 | $115 | −115 |
| 2026-09-12 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline | Cleveland Guardians | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $686 | −686 |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma vs. Michiganfootball · moneyline | Oklahoma | lost | 49¢ · +106 | $493 | −493 |
| 2026-09-12 | Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcelltennis · moneyline | Ilia Simakin | won | 47¢ · +113 | $238 | +256 |
| 2026-09-12 | Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | Chicago White Sox | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $2,053 | −1,824 |
| 2026-09-12 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | won | 45¢ · +122 | $1,075 | +983 |
| 2026-09-11 | M15 Tsaghkadzor: Corentin Denolly vs Niklas Guttautennis · moneyline | Corentin Denolly | won | 54¢ · -117 | $592 | +480 |
| 2026-09-11 | 49ers vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Rams | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $1,212 | −1,212 |
| 2026-09-10 | Patriots vs. Seahawksfootball · moneyline | Seahawks | won | 49¢ · +104 | $610 | +604 |
| 2026-08-28 | Rams vs. Chargersfootball · moneyline | Chargers | lost | 41¢ · +142 | $608 | −608 |
| 2026-08-27 | Steelers vs. Billsfootball · moneyline | Bills | won | 54¢ · -117 | $333 | +270 |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Botic van de Zandschulptennis · moneyline | Benjamin Bonzi | won | 40¢ · +147 | $139 | +195 |
| 2026-08-27 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $523 | −523 |
| 2026-08-27 | Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Stormbasketball · moneyline | Toronto Tempo | lost | 48¢ · +106 | $505 | −505 |
| 2026-08-27 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Athleticsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $2,005 | −2,005 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | San Francisco Giants | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $1,098 | −1,098 |
| 2026-08-23 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 49¢ · +104 | $14,646 | +10,596 |
| 2026-08-23 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Saitama Seibu Lionsbaseball · moneyline | Saitama Seibu Lions | won | 52¢ · -108 | $7,805 | +6,886 |
| 2026-08-23 | Cowboys vs. Cardinalsfootball · moneyline | Cowboys | won | 51¢ · -104 | $4,085 | +3,733 |
| 2026-08-22 | Ravens vs. Vikingsfootball · moneyline | Ravens | won | 40¢ · +152 | $1,777 | +2,562 |
| 2026-08-22 | Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-08-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 43¢ · +131 | $794 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · moneyline | Chicago Cubs | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $2,288 | −1,502 |
| 2026-08-21 | Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigersbaseball · moneyline | Hanshin Tigers | won | 46¢ · +117 | $1,084 | +1,211 |
| 2026-08-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 42¢ · +137 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-08-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 32¢ · +212 | $2 | +4 |
| 2026-08-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 52¢ · -109 | $147 | −145 |
| 2026-08-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 51¢ · -105 | $72 | −72 |
| 2026-08-16 | Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbaseball · moneyline | Athletics | exited | 40¢ · +150 | $975 | −903 |
| 2026-08-16 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Ian Machado Garry | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $1,079 | −114 |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Petra Marcinkotennis · moneyline | Simona Waltert | won | 48¢ · +108 | $1,978 | +2,038 |
| 2026-08-12 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · moneyline | Cleveland Guardians | won | 47¢ · +113 | $957 | +1,026 |
| 2026-08-12 | Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group Besports · moneyline | HAVU | exited | 50¢ · +100 | $491 | +468 |
| 2026-08-08 | Lexington: Edas Butvilas vs Dusan Lajovictennis · moneyline | Dusan Lajovic | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-08-08 | Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $30 | — |
| 2026-08-08 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynxbasketball · moneyline | Las Vegas Aces | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $879 | −855 |
| 2026-07-30 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-07-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 52¢ · -108 | $108 | +93 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vancouver: Mai Hontama vs Himeno Sakatsumetennis · moneyline | Himeno Sakatsume | exited | 47¢ · +113 | $422 | −316 |
| 2026-07-30 | KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinosbaseball · moneyline | KT Wiz | won | 49¢ · +102 | $215 | +209 |
| 2026-05-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 54¢ · -116 | $465 | −465 |
| 2026-05-12 | Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 57¢ · -135 | $329 | −329 |
| 2026-05-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 49¢ · +105 | $169 | +159 |
| 2026-05-12 | Will Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 63¢ · -170 | $108 | — |
| 2026-05-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 39¢ · +159 | $447 | −342 |
| 2026-03-07 | Magic vs. Timberwolvesbasketball · moneyline | Timberwolves | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $13 | −13 |
| 2026-03-07 | Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbasketball · moneyline | Louisville Cardinals | exited | 40¢ · +150 | $6 | +8 |
| 2026-03-07 | Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stageesports · moneyline | HAVU | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $9 | −3 |
| 2026-02-11 | Solana Up or Down - February 11, 3PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-02-11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 44¢ · +127 | $14 | +7 |
| 2026-02-11 | Solana Up or Down - February 11, 2PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 53¢ · -112 | $79 | −10 |
| 2026-02-11 | XRP Up or Down - February 11, 2PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 59¢ · -142 | $55 | −22 |
| 2026-02-11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $166 | −119 |
| 2026-02-11 | Solana Up or Down - February 11, 2PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 43¢ · +133 | $175 | +85 |
| 2026-02-11 | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | Sinners | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $1,054 | −973 |
| 2026-02-11 | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | BetBoom Team | won | 55¢ · -124 | $1,733 | −679 |
| 2026-02-11 | Solana Up or Down - February 11, 12PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 41¢ · +143 | $1,004 | +729 |
| 2026-02-11 | XRP Up or Down - February 11, 11AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 51¢ · -105 | $519 | +485 |
| 2026-02-11 | XRP Up or Down - February 11, 4AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 45¢ · +123 | $383 | +136 |
| 2026-02-11 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 3AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 59¢ · -141 | $226 | +156 |
| 2026-02-11 | XRP Up or Down - February 11, 3AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $220 | +6 |
| 2026-02-11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 40¢ · +150 | $229 | −9 |
| 2026-02-09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $22 | −22 |
| 2026-02-09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 46¢ · +117 | $27 | −5 |
| 2026-02-09 | XRP Up or Down - February 9, 12AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 44¢ · +129 | $61 | −33 |
| 2026-02-09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 54¢ · -117 | $182 | −121 |
| 2026-02-09 | Solana Up or Down - February 9, 12AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 47¢ · +113 | $111 | +61 |
| 2026-02-02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-02-02 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 8PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 63¢ · -170 | $1 | +1 |
| 2026-02-02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $8 | −7 |
| 2026-02-02 | Kings vs. Wizardsbasketball · moneyline | Kings | lost | 38¢ · +162 | $105 | −97 |
| 2026-02-01 | XRP Up or Down - February 1, 6PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 57¢ · -133 | $61 | +45 |
| 2026-02-01 | Solana Up or Down - February 1, 6PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 44¢ · +128 | $110 | −50 |
| 2026-02-01 | Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $1 | — |
| 2026-02-01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 38¢ · +166 | $14 | −13 |
| 2026-02-01 | Transylvania Open, Qualification: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Iryna Shymanovichtennis · moneyline | Quevedo | exited | 43¢ · +133 | $7 | +7 |
| 2026-02-01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 56¢ · -127 | $4 | +3 |
| 2026-02-01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-02-01 | Solana Up or Down - February 1, 4AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $12 | −9 |
| 2026-02-01 | XRP Up or Down - February 1, 4AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 31¢ · +223 | $11 | +1 |
| 2026-02-01 | XRP Up or Down - February 1, 4AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 55¢ · -122 | $20 | −9 |
| 2026-02-01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $53 | −33 |
| 2026-02-01 | Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 45¢ · +122 | $24 | +29 |