Public evidence record

PatientPanda

0x3078b391f843153c6859702cee974ca7f660a2cb

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-7.6%581 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.4%$739,973 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.18%158 pre-event fills

Settlement record

268-262-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−16.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 581 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -14.4% to -0.8%

581 closed positions · 952 taker fills · $739,973 deployed

Typical position $612 (median) · closing line value measured over 158 pre-event fills · 20% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

4 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$761

LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Lodis (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

Lodis

entry 32¢ · +215now 100¢+68.2 pts

Open

value$420

Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?

Yes

entry 45¢ · +123now 39¢ · +160−6.4 pts

Open

value$431

Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?

Yes

entry 23¢ · +342now 20¢ · +413−3.1 pts

Open

value$444

Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?

Yes

entry 24¢ · +324now 21¢ · +373−2.4 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports572 closed266–255–1-7.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Cesports · moneyline	Cupid Esports	lost	17¢ · +500	$129	−129
2026-09-21	LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Desports · moneyline	Galions	lost	60¢ · -150	$1,892	−1,892
2026-09-21	LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Desports · moneyline	Galions	exited	75¢ · -297	$4,545	+1,449
2026-09-20	LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline