value$128
Will France win on 2026-09-25?
Yes
Open
Loading this page’s records…
Loading this page’s records…
Public evidence record
0x30dcd612c8efed0ce55f5095f926677ee8bd768e
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 25, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-4.2%290 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-0.8%$26,351 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.64%283 pre-event fillsSettlement record
185-84-4Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−15.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 290 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.7% to +1.2%
290 closed positions · 617 taker fills · $26,351 deployed
Typical position $74 (median) · closing line value measured over 283 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will France win on 2026-09-25?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonegotennis · moneyline | Jenson Brooksby | exited | 52¢ · -108 | $87 | −50 |
| 2026-09-24 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 85¢ · -567 | $72 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 85¢ · -565 | $148 | +23 |
| 2026-09-24 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-24?soccer · moneyline |
| No |
| won |
| 80¢ · -412 |
| $269 |
| — |
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabellitennis · moneyline | Nuno Borges | push | 79¢ · -376 | $29 | −12 |
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu Open: James Duckworth vs Lorenzo Sonegotennis · moneyline | Lorenzo Sonego | won | 57¢ · -133 | $99 | +69 |
| 2026-09-23 | Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $72 | −72 |
| 2026-09-23 | Will Tajikistan win on 2026-09-23?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 84¢ · -525 | $87 | — |
| 2026-09-23 | Plovdiv 4: Max Wiskandt vs Carlos Tabernertennis · moneyline | Carlos Taberner | won | 70¢ · -233 | $60 | +24 |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Alexandre Muller vs Petr Bar Biryukovtennis · moneyline | Alexandre Muller | won | 87¢ · -669 | $22 | +3 |
| 2026-09-23 | Singapore Open: Elise Mertens vs Barbora Krejcikovatennis · moneyline | Elise Mertens | push | 66¢ · -194 | $48 | −13 |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Waltontennis · moneyline | Valentin Royer | won | 49¢ · +104 | $52 | +50 |
| 2026-09-22 | Set Handicap: Donna Vekic (-1.5) vs Xinyu Wang (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Donna Vekic | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $33 | −18 |
| 2026-09-21 | Korea Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Rusetennis · moneyline | Gabriela Ruse | won | 62¢ · -163 | $12 | +7 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $16 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 62¢ · -163 | $9 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 79¢ · -376 | $9 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $6 | +3 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 20¢ · +400 | $194 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -223 | $91 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 73¢ · -270 | $113 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC København win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 56¢ · -127 | $54 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 72¢ · -260 | $113 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercurybasketball · moneyline | Dallas Wings | lost | 75¢ · -308 | $246 | −29 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Iwo Baraniewski | lost | 69¢ · -221 | $175 | −175 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 55¢ · -120 | $57 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Marlon Vera | won | 37¢ · +170 | $89 | +141 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 85¢ · -567 | $196 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 77¢ · -335 | $196 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: AS Roma O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 73¢ · -270 | $83 | +28 |
| 2026-09-19 | AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 82¢ · -456 | $51 | +10 |
| 2026-09-19 | AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 82¢ · -456 | $25 | +5 |
| 2026-09-19 | Davis Cup: Soonwoo Kwon vs. Sumit Nagalmoneyline · Non-sports | Soonwoo Kwon | won | 75¢ · -300 | $125 | +35 |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 75¢ · -300 | $98 | −98 |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 77¢ · -341 | $296 | +48 |
| 2026-09-19 | Davis Cup: Jurij Rodionov vs. Zizou Bergsmoneyline · Non-sports | Zizou Bergs | lost | 64¢ · -177 | $102 | −99 |
| 2026-09-19 | Phan Thiet 4: Moise Kouame vs Rodrigo Pachecotennis · moneyline | Moise Kouame | lost | 86¢ · -614 | $49 | −49 |
| 2026-09-19 | San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 56¢ · -127 | $3 | −0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Iva Jovictennis · moneyline | Iva Jovic | won | 77¢ · -335 | $159 | +43 |
| 2026-09-18 | Set Handicap: Nadia Podoroska (-1.5) vs Suzan Lamens (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Suzan Lamens | won | 69¢ · -223 | $85 | +35 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 80¢ · -403 | $136 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will AC Monza win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $128 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosatennis · moneyline | Paula Badosa | won | 69¢ · -223 | $149 | +61 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 66¢ · -193 | $66 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 86¢ · -614 | $100 | −45 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $184 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Peyton Stearns vs Sloane Stephenstennis · moneyline | Peyton Stearns | won | 63¢ · -170 | $176 | −12 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 74¢ · -285 | $198 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $99 | −99 |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $202 | −202 |
| 2026-09-17 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroskatennis · moneyline | Eva Lys | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-17 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Iva Jovictennis · moneyline | Iva Jovic | won | 73¢ · -270 | $101 | +34 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 89¢ · -809 | $68 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 80¢ · -412 | $189 | +41 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 70¢ · -233 | $203 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $101 | +48 |
| 2026-09-16 | Sunderland AFC vs. AZ: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 80¢ · -400 | $82 | −82 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 77¢ · -335 | $504 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 81¢ · -426 | $111 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 81¢ · -426 | $198 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 0.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 79¢ · -365 | $134 | +33 |
| 2026-09-14 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $109 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Torino FC win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 87¢ · -669 | $191 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 82¢ · -456 | $138 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 80¢ · -400 | $132 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | San Diego FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | won | 37¢ · +170 | $39 | +61 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 70¢ · -233 | $195 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $78 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 88¢ · -749 | $153 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 82¢ · -456 | $18 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona · Spread FC Barcelona (-1.5)soccer · spreads | FC Barcelona | won | 67¢ · -203 | $37 | +17 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 84¢ · -525 | $199 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 83¢ · -488 | $196 | +36 |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 85¢ · -567 | $129 | −129 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 69¢ · -223 | $153 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffsesports · moneyline | Gen.G | won | 81¢ · -426 | $9 | +2 |
| 2026-09-13 | SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 83¢ · -505 | $88 | +15 |
| 2026-09-13 | Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Shelton | won | 82¢ · -456 | $189 | +37 |
| 2026-09-13 | FC Dallas vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 87¢ · -669 | $127 | +17 |
| 2026-09-13 | FC Famalicão vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 78¢ · -355 | $82 | +21 |
| 2026-09-12 | Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 89¢ · -809 | $91 | +10 |
| 2026-09-12 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinatennis · moneyline | Elena Rybakina | won | 60¢ · -150 | $236 | +146 |
| 2026-09-12 | Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5tennis · tennis set totals | Over 2.5 | won | 67¢ · -201 | $81 | +37 |
| 2026-09-12 | Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Rybakina | won | 70¢ · -233 | $59 | +22 |
| 2026-09-12 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinatennis · moneyline | Aryna Sabalenka | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $138 | −64 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 86¢ · -614 | $137 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 63¢ · -168 | $242 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | lost | 99¢ · -9900 | $53 | −53 |
| 2026-09-12 | SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 76¢ · -317 | $184 | +53 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 83¢ · -488 | $194 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 72¢ · -257 | $304 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 79¢ · -375 | $294 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 81¢ · -426 | $142 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffsesports · moneyline | Hanwha Life Esports | won | 73¢ · -270 | $54 | +18 |
| 2026-09-11 | Set Handicap: Shelton (-2.5) vs Tiafoe (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Tiafoe | won | 71¢ · -245 | $104 | +39 |
| 2026-09-11 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Sheltontennis · moneyline | Ben Shelton | won | 73¢ · -270 | $184 | +62 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Pisa SC win on 2026-09-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $132 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanovtennis · moneyline | Alexander Zverev | won | 80¢ · -411 | $233 | +51 |
| 2026-09-11 | FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 83¢ · -488 | $99 | +18 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-11?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 78¢ · -355 | $184 | — |