Public evidence record

Joedaly

0x3372594657f4fbeaef7f05ce0afede0a7bbb1914

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.2%3,548 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.1%$199,820 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.62%2,758 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1608-1095-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−241.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,548 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.3% to -1.2%

3,548 closed positions · 7,140 taker fills · $199,820 deployed

Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,758 pre-event fills · 19% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball1,873 closed849–637–1-4.3%
Basketball1,017 closed487–258-1.8%
Hockey462 closed172–143-4.3%
Tennis93 closed41–21-0.3%
Football80 closed47–28–1-6.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-26	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline	Tampa Bay Rays	lost	52¢ · -108	$20	−20
2026-10-20	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline	Tampa Bay Rays	won	60¢ · -153	$61	+38
2026-10-19	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Non-sports	Yes	lost	72¢ · -257	$30	—
2026-10-19