Public evidence record

Joedaly

0x3372594657f4fbeaef7f05ce0afede0a7bbb1914

Record anatomy

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Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.4%3,429 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.2%$197,317 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.18%2,351 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1545-1041-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−236.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,429 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.4% to -1.3%

3,429 closed positions · 7,001 taker fills · $197,317 deployed

Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,351 pre-event fills · 19% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

11 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$20

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays

entry 46¢ · +117now 46¢ · +120−0.5 pts

Open

value$19

Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox

Cleveland Guardians

entry 47¢ · +113now 46¢ · +120−1.5 pts

Open

value$20

Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals

entry 48¢ · +108now 48¢ · +111−0.5 pts

Open

value$19

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies

entry 57¢ · -133now 56¢ · -125

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball1,754 closed786–583-4.6%
Basketball1,017 closed487–258-1.8%
Hockey462 closed172–143-3.9%
Tennis93 closed41–21+0.0%
Football80 closed47–28–1-6.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline	Seattle Mariners	won	60¢ · -150	$20	+6
2026-09-20	Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline	Miami Marlins	lost	43¢ · +133	$21	−21
2026-09-20	New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline	New York Yankees	lost	49¢ · +104	$21	−21
2026-09-20	Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline	Minnesota Twins	won	52¢ · -108

Joedaly

Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

Tampa Bay Rays

Cleveland Guardians

Kansas City Royals

Philadelphia Phillies

By sport

Position log

Detroit Tigers

Chicago Cubs

San Francisco Giants

San Diego Padres

Athletics

Baltimore Orioles

Seattle Mariners