Public evidence record

keepcool

0x3449dd397d165206791e12ef8187d31696234030

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-11.5%824 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-8.3%$322,749 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.27%1,243 pre-event fills

Settlement record

330-467-21Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−85.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 824 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -18.2% to -4.8%

824 closed positions · 1,325 taker fills · $322,749 deployed

Typical position $200 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,243 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$1449

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Dplus KIA

entry 42¢ · +138now 42¢ · +141−0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports727 closed280–423–18-13.2%
Soccer55 closed30–22–3-3.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 88 sports · 12 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-05	Game Handicap · Games Total: O/U 3.5esports · totals	Over	lost	74¢ · -285	$807	−807
2026-11-04	Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)esports · map handicap	LYON	lost	47¢ · +113	$138	−138
2026-11-04	Bucks vs. Celticsbasketball · moneyline	Bucks	lost	18¢ · +456	$9	−9
2026-11-04	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A