Public evidence record

chrxsontherun

0x34b8814fcda43a4e228d613ef326e200e7d481af

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-9.5%418 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.6%$206,161 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.47%257 pre-event fills

Settlement record

154-211Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−47.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 418 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -18.1% to -0.8%

418 closed positions · 1,153 taker fills · $206,161 deployed

Typical position $157 (median) · closing line value measured over 257 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$5

Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Yes

entry 12¢ · +734now 1¢ · +8991−10.9 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball144 closed49–75-3.0%
Baseball107 closed44–50-11.0%
Soccer79 closed26–46-10.1%
Tennis53 closed20–24-6.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-15	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	58¢ · -138	$204	—
2026-09-15	Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline	Yes	exited	80¢ · -397	$84	—
2026-09-15	Will Daejeon Citizen FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	59¢ · -145	$112	—
2026-09-15	Phan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Tai Sachtennis · moneyline	Tai Sach	lost	62¢ · -163