Public evidence record

momo-0916

0x36a9b5278085eb543c9095a37c9a93bb7951c1d3

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.1%3,361 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.6%$941,896 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.73%350 pre-event fills

Settlement record

3140-94Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−16.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,361 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -2.7% to -1.6%

3,361 closed positions · 62,035 taker fills · $941,896 deployed

Typical position $82 (median) · closing line value measured over 350 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

25 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$30

Will Blue and White win 1.25-2% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

No

entry 100¢now 100¢+0.1 pts

Open

value$38

Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No

entry 100¢now 100¢−0.1 pts

Open

value$31

Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes

entry 100¢now 99¢−0.7 pts

Open

value$30

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?

Yes

entry 100¢now 100¢−0.1 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball1,186 closed1100–26-2.1%
Esports834 closed724–55-4.9%
Tennis633 closed621–7-2.1%
Football296 closed290–2-2.9%
Hockey178 closed174–3-2.8%
Soccer126 closed123–1-3.3%
Baseball92 closed92–0-3.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 34 sports · 66 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	100¢ · -99900	$154	—
2026-11-06	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraztennis · moneyline	Carlos Alcaraz	won	100¢ · -49900	$17	+0
2026-11-06	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	100¢ · -60620	$298	—
2026-11-06	Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato