Public evidence record

Danshan11

0x36b321c39e0f5b7d1835467cb91365c2571ae421

Record anatomy

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Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.3%6,963 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.4%$689,400 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.03%14,453 pre-event fills

Settlement record

3450-3176-163Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−282.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 6,963 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.6% to -0.0%

6,963 closed positions · 14,885 taker fills · $689,400 deployed

Typical position $54 (median) · closing line value measured over 14,453 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

8 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$14

Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 2.5

Under

entry 42¢ · +138now 41¢ · +147−1.5 pts

Open

value$181

Set Handicap: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)

Rafael Jodar

entry 55¢ · -122now 55¢ · -120−0.5 pts

Open

value$87

Set Handicap: Kenta Miyoshi (-1.5) vs Aidan Mayo (+1.5)

Aidan Mayo

entry 77¢ · -335now 79¢ · -365+1.5 pts

Open

value$17

Taranto: Jacopo Vasami vs Matteo Sciahbasi

Matteo Sciahbasi

entry 26¢ · +285now 27¢ · +277+0.5 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis2,354 closed1227–954–163+1.1%
Soccer2,171 closed1141–1002-0.9%
Basketball1,340 closed592–647-4.8%
Baseball595 closed241–326-11.0%
Football381 closed195–182-8.6%
Hockey118 closed51–64-4.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 92 sports · 8 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-07	Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbasketball · moneyline	Pelicans	lost	39¢ · +156	$141	−141
2026-11-06	Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5football · totals	Over	won	53¢ · -113	$286	+246
2026-11-06	South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans · Spread USC Upstate Spartans (-3.5)basketball · spreads	South Carolina State Bulldogs	won	51¢ · -104	$26	+24
2026-11-06	Spread: Hawks (-7.5)

Danshan11

Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

Under

Rafael Jodar

Aidan Mayo

Matteo Sciahbasi

By sport

Position log

Rinky Hijikata

Hugo Grenier

Leonardo Rossi

Paula Badosa