Public evidence record

Danshan11

0x36b321c39e0f5b7d1835467cb91365c2571ae421

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.7%5,562 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.4%$541,118 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.15%11,098 pre-event fills

Settlement record

2665-2587-142Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−208.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 5,562 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.3% to +0.9%

5,562 closed positions · 12,369 taker fills · $541,118 deployed

Typical position $53 (median) · closing line value measured over 11,098 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

8 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$28

Spread: Washington Mystics (-15.5)

Washington Mystics

entry 55¢ · -122now 56¢ · -127+1.0 pts

Open

value$5

Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Over

entry 64¢ · -178now 65¢ · -186+1.0 pts

Open

value$23

Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5

Under

entry 49¢ · +104now 47¢ · +115−2.5 pts

Open

value$26

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-14.5)

Golden State Valkyries

entry 49¢ · +104now 52¢ · -106+2.4 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer1,935 closed998–910-0.7%
Tennis1,726 closed854–721–142+1.8%
Basketball1,111 closed481–530-4.2%
Baseball575 closed231–316-11.1%
Football106 closed56–49-3.5%
Hockey105 closed42–60-4.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Spread: Broncos (-2.5)football · spreads	Broncos	won	52¢ · -110	$150	+137
2026-09-20	Spread: SF (-12.5)football · spreads	SF	won	51¢ · -104	$150	+144
2026-09-20	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)football · spreads	Cowboys	won	52¢ · -108	$150	+138
2026-09-20	Spread: Chargers (-6.5)football · spreads

Danshan11

Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

Washington Mystics

Over

Under

Golden State Valkyries

By sport

Position log

Golden State Valkyries

Under

Pavel Lagutin

Ozan Baris