W50 Berkeley, CA: Connie Ma vs Duru Soke
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Public evidence record
0x36e6f5489a73bacfa269f375e5e9aeec00f1ad16
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-0.6%397 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
+1.9%$204,090 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.31%209 pre-event fillsSettlement record
228-157-2Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−9.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 397 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.6% to +6.5%
397 closed positions · 504 taker fills · $204,090 deployed
Typical position $558 (median) · closing line value measured over 209 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
W50 Berkeley, CA: Connie Ma vs Duru Soke
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)football · spreads | Chiefs | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $800 | −800 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)football · spreads | Buccaneers | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $800 | −800 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Eagles (-6.5)football · spreads | Eagles | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $1,000 | −1,000 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $820 |
| — |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: No — Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-09-20? + No — Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-09-20? + No — Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?soccer · combo | — | lost | 37¢ · +169 | $800 | −800 |
| 2026-09-19 | Utah State vs. Utah · Spread Utah (-26.5)football · spreads | Utah | won | 53¢ · -115 | $800 | +699 |
| 2026-09-19 | Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)esports · map handicap | LYON | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $867 | −867 |
| 2026-09-19 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)basketball · spreads | Atlanta Dream | won | 58¢ · -138 | $817 | +564 |
| 2026-09-19 | Florida State vs. Alabama · Spread Alabama (-18.5)football · spreads | Alabama | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $800 | −800 |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 53¢ · -113 | $819 | +691 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $817 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Combo: Over — Fagiano Okayama vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5 + Yes — Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-09-19?soccer · combo | — | lost | 44¢ · +125 | $800 | −800 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will FC Arda Kardzhali win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $818 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 50¢ · -100 | $820 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Spread: Indiana Fever (-14.5)basketball · spreads | Indiana Fever | won | 56¢ · -127 | $818 | +611 |
| 2026-09-18 | Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest · Spread Miami (FL) (-19.5)football · spreads | Miami (FL) | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $819 | −819 |
| 2026-09-18 | Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest: O/U 54.5football · totals | Over | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $818 | −818 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 54¢ · -117 | $818 | +663 |
| 2026-09-18 | Combo: Yes — Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score + Over — Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | lost | 60¢ · -149 | $800 | −800 |
| 2026-09-17 | DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5football · receiving yards | Over | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $592 | −592 |
| 2026-09-17 | Juventus FC vs. NEC: Juventus FC O/U 2.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 59¢ · -144 | $816 | +540 |
| 2026-09-16 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 52¢ · -108 | $819 | +719 |
| 2026-09-15 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 62¢ · -160 | $815 | +485 |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 60¢ · -150 | $816 | +517 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 52¢ · -108 | $819 | +719 |
| 2026-09-14 | Cowboys vs. Giants · Spread Cowboys (-2.5)football · spreads | Cowboys | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $817 | −817 |
| 2026-09-13 | Spread: Ravens (-2.5)football · spreads | Ravens | won | 55¢ · -122 | $818 | +637 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ravens vs. Coltsfootball · moneyline | Ravens | won | 61¢ · -156 | $816 | +496 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Vegalta Sendai win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $816 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Ohio State vs. Texasfootball · moneyline | Texas | won | 55¢ · -122 | $818 | +637 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Yes — AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · combo | — | lost | 11¢ · +784 | $150 | −150 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Yes — AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · combo | — | lost | 23¢ · +335 | $300 | −300 |
| 2026-09-12 | Arkansas vs. Utah · Spread Utah (-10.5)football · spreads | Utah | won | 55¢ · -124 | $818 | +629 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $816 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: Go Ahead Eagles O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $816 | −816 |
| 2026-09-12 | Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC · Spread Chelsea FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Chelsea FC | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $714 | −714 |
| 2026-09-09 | Combo: Yes — Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score + No — Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-09?soccer · combo | — | won | 56¢ · -126 | $800 | +606 |
| 2026-09-08 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsentennis · moneyline | Frances Tiafoe | won | 58¢ · -138 | $817 | +563 |
| 2026-09-08 | SMU vs. Florida State: O/U 54.5football · totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -116 | $819 | +670 |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxtennis · moneyline | Alexander Blockx | won | 61¢ · -156 | $714 | +434 |
| 2026-09-07 | Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Bilibili Gaming | won | 61¢ · -156 | $846 | +514 |
| 2026-09-07 | Combo: Over — FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs. PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 1.5 + Yes — Will PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-09-06?soccer · combo | — | won | 56¢ · -130 | $800 | +587 |
| 2026-09-06 | Combo: Yes — Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-08-31? + Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? + Yes — Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-31?soccer · combo | — | won | 28¢ · +260 | $400 | +991 |
| 2026-09-06 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 60¢ · -153 | $836 | +520 |
| 2026-09-06 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 58¢ · -139 | $817 | −817 |
| 2026-09-06 | LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | T1 | won | 65¢ · -183 | $743 | +386 |
| 2026-09-06 | LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffsesports · moneyline | T1 | won | 58¢ · -138 | $1,021 | +703 |
| 2026-09-06 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $817 | −817 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $816 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $817 | −817 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 54¢ · -117 | $818 | +663 |
| 2026-09-05 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffsesports · moneyline | Gen.G | won | 58¢ · -138 | $1,021 | +703 |
| 2026-09-05 | Avispa Fukuoka vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 53¢ · -111 | $819 | +701 |
| 2026-09-04 | Toledo vs. Michigan State · Spread Michigan State (-10.5)football · spreads | Michigan State | lost | 48¢ · +109 | $821 | −821 |
| 2026-09-04 | Toledo vs. Michigan State · Spread Michigan State (-9.5)football · spreads | Michigan State | won | 54¢ · -115 | $819 | +676 |
| 2026-09-04 | Combo: Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? + Yes — Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?soccer · combo | — | lost | 47¢ · +115 | $800 | −800 |
| 2026-09-04 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. New York Metsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 53¢ · -115 | $819 | −819 |
| 2026-09-03 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 54¢ · -117 | $818 | +663 |
| 2026-09-03 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Nuclear TigeRES | won | 52¢ · -110 | $819 | +706 |
| 2026-09-03 | KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wizbaseball · moneyline | KT Wiz | won | 64¢ · -178 | $814 | +436 |
| 2026-09-03 | Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Dplus KIA | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $816 | −816 |
| 2026-09-03 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $817 | −817 |
| 2026-09-03 | New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 58¢ · -138 | $817 | +563 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royalsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $818 | −818 |
| 2026-09-02 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffsesports · moneyline | Hanwha Life Esports | won | 65¢ · -186 | $1,017 | +521 |
| 2026-09-01 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 54¢ · -119 | $716 | +572 |
| 2026-09-01 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $715 | −715 |
| 2026-09-01 | West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 64¢ · -175 | $815 | +441 |
| 2026-08-31 | Combo: Over — US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5 + Yes — Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-31?soccer · combo | — | won | 56¢ · -128 | $700 | +520 |
| 2026-08-31 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 55¢ · -122 | $665 | +520 |
| 2026-08-30 | Combo: Yes — Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-30? + Yes — Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? + Yes — Will FC St. Gallen 1879 win on 2026-08-30?soccer · combo | — | lost | 23¢ · +340 | $350 | −350 |
| 2026-08-30 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates | won | 55¢ · -122 | $818 | +637 |
| 2026-08-30 | Houston Astros vs. New York Metsbaseball · moneyline | New York Mets | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $818 | −818 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 50¢ · -100 | $1,025 | +975 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will FC St. Gallen 1879 win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $816 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 61¢ · -156 | $816 | +496 |
| 2026-08-30 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffsesports · moneyline | Dplus KIA | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $1,021 | −1,021 |
| 2026-08-30 | Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Dplus KIA | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $1,019 | −1,019 |
| 2026-08-29 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winneresports · child moneyline | T1 | won | 54¢ · -117 | $614 | +497 |
| 2026-08-29 | Games Total: O/U 3.5esports · totals | Over | won | 60¢ · -152 | $663 | +414 |
| 2026-08-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 61¢ · -156 | $714 | +434 |
| 2026-08-28 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 54¢ · -117 | $1,023 | +829 |
| 2026-08-28 | Will FC CSKA 1948 win on 2026-08-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -174 | $713 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart · Spread FC Bayern München (-1.5)soccer · spreads | FC Bayern München | won | 63¢ · -170 | $1,018 | +569 |
| 2026-08-28 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | BNK FEARX | won | 60¢ · -147 | $714 | +461 |
| 2026-08-28 | Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)basketball · spreads | Washington Mystics | won | 62¢ · -160 | $815 | +485 |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club · Spread FC Barcelona (-1.5)soccer · spreads | FC Barcelona | won | 60¢ · -150 | $816 | +517 |
| 2026-08-27 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Metsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $1,019 | −1,019 |
| 2026-08-27 | Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)basketball · spreads | Washington Mystics | won | 53¢ · -113 | $614 | +518 |
| 2026-08-27 | Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)esports · map handicap | BNK FEARX | won | 61¢ · -156 | $294 | +179 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $1,021 | −1,021 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 62¢ · -162 | $1,019 | +600 |
| 2026-08-24 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 61¢ · -156 | $714 | +434 |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Tom Gentzschtennis · moneyline | Tom Gentzsch | won | 69¢ · -222 | $762 | +326 |
| 2026-08-23 | Combo: Over — FK Septemvri Sofia vs. FC CSKA 1948: FC CSKA 1948 O/U 1.5 + Yes — Will FC CSKA 1948 win on 2026-08-23?soccer · combo | — | lost | 54¢ · -118 | $600 | −600 |
| 2026-08-23 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $1,225 | −1,225 |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona · Spread FC Barcelona (-1.5)soccer · spreads | FC Barcelona | won | 51¢ · -104 | $615 | +562 |
| 2026-08-23 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupesports · moneyline | Nongshim Red Force | won | 66¢ · -194 | $1,525 | +747 |
| 2026-08-23 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | BNK FEARX | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $919 | −830 |
| 2026-08-23 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | T1 | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $616 | −616 |