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Public evidence record
0x371e379dc5a952769f15870d0f55ab0200150f81
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Oct 4, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-3.8%387 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.7%$47,530 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.89%357 pre-event fillsSettlement record
164-145Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−19.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 387 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.9% to +2.3%
387 closed positions · 1,016 taker fills · $47,530 deployed
Typical position $60 (median) · closing line value measured over 357 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 82 sports · 18 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Noskova vs. Ruse: Match O/U 21.5tennis · tennis match totals | Over | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-10-02 | Alexandrova vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 21.5tennis · tennis match totals | Over | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-10-02 | Panthers vs. Sharkshockey · moneyline | Panthers | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $56 | −56 |
| 2026-10-02 | Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic |
| Bernard Tomic |
| won |
| 68¢ · -212 |
| $112 |
| +1 |
| 2026-10-02 | Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | exited | 77¢ · -335 | $125 | +29 |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $103 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 2.5soccer · first half totals | Under | won | 77¢ · -335 | $111 | +31 |
| 2026-09-30 | Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5hockey · totals | Over | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $19 | −19 |
| 2026-09-30 | Napoli Basket vs. JL Bourg Basketmoneyline · Non-sports | Napoli Basket | won | 70¢ · -233 | $13 | +5 |
| 2026-09-30 | Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Melisa Ercantennis · moneyline | Leolia Jeanjean | won | 52¢ · -107 | $7 | +6 |
| 2026-09-30 | US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +719 | $16 | −14 |
| 2026-09-30 | Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 9¢ · +1036 | $66 | −30 |
| 2026-09-28 | Korea Republic vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5soccer · first half totals | Under | lost | 71¢ · -245 | $56 | −56 |
| 2026-09-28 | China Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Trungellititennis · moneyline | Martin Landaluce | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-28 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevictennis · moneyline | Aleksandar Kovacevic | won | 53¢ · -113 | $87 | +72 |
| 2026-09-28 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Martin Dammtennis · moneyline | Arthur Fils | won | 43¢ · +133 | $41 | +46 |
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan: Sara Saito vs Chenting Zhutennis · moneyline | Sara Saito | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Non-sports | No | exited | 36¢ · +176 | $100 | −6 |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $293 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Serbia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 71¢ · -245 | $212 | +82 |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -223 | $248 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Laver Cup: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tientennis · moneyline | Alexander Zverev | won | 91¢ · -1061 | $231 | +15 |
| 2026-09-27 | Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wongtennis · moneyline | Daniil Medvedev | exited | 80¢ · -400 | $187 | +44 |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvilitennis · moneyline | Jenson Brooksby | lost | 42¢ · +136 | $206 | −206 |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Seattle Sounders FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 84¢ · -525 | $277 | +19 |
| 2026-09-27 | Seattle Sounders FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners | Over | won | 73¢ · -269 | $203 | +72 |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacztennis · moneyline | Martin Damm | lost | 40¢ · +149 | $198 | −198 |
| 2026-09-25 | Navy vs. UABfootball · moneyline | Navy | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $133 | −133 |
| 2026-09-25 | Will France win on 2026-09-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 74¢ · -285 | $100 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?soccer | No | exited | 41¢ · +142 | $572 | +219 |
| 2026-09-24 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1938 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 13¢ · +649 | $100 | −33 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 15¢ · +584 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners | Over | won | 63¢ · -170 | $125 | +70 |
| 2026-09-20 | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners | Under | won | 74¢ · -283 | $203 | +68 |
| 2026-09-20 | Portland Timbers vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 76¢ · -317 | $252 | +75 |
| 2026-09-20 | D.C. United SC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 72¢ · -257 | $185 | +68 |
| 2026-09-19 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Non-sports | No | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $100 | −26 |
| 2026-09-19 | Davis Cup: Liam Draxl vs. Quentin Halysmoneyline · Non-sports | Quentin Halys | push | 64¢ · -177 | $106 | −27 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -136 | $654 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5soccer · first half totals | Under | won | 85¢ · -567 | $201 | +34 |
| 2026-09-19 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Non-sports | No | won | 63¢ · -171 | $276 | +21 |
| 2026-09-19 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 10¢ · +900 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Non-sports | No | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $1 | +1 |
| 2026-09-18 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?soccer | No | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $200 | +50 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 71¢ · -245 | $183 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 80¢ · -400 | $148 | −148 |
| 2026-09-15 | Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $150 | −9 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 77¢ · -335 | $143 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Gamba Osaka win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 79¢ · -376 | $202 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Gamba Osaka vs. Cong An Ha Noi FC: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | exited | 80¢ · -394 | $303 | +34 |
| 2026-09-14 | Al-Shamal vs. Al-Ittihad Club: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 81¢ · -426 | $158 | +27 |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $163 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 44.5football · totals | Over | exited | 62¢ · -163 | $102 | +58 |
| 2026-09-13 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Non-sports | No | won | 73¢ · -268 | $200 | +68 |
| 2026-09-13 | Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $153 | −153 |
| 2026-09-13 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Non-sports | No | won | 62¢ · -163 | $250 | −39 |
| 2026-09-13 | Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 83¢ · -488 | $83 | −83 |
| 2026-09-13 | Vegalta Sendai vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 85¢ · -567 | $71 | +12 |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: Sunderland AFC O/U 0.5soccer · soccer team totals | Under | won | 48¢ · +108 | $51 | +53 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 62¢ · -163 | $266 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -117 | $153 | +90 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5soccer · first half totals | Under | won | 60¢ · -150 | $8 | +5 |
| 2026-09-12 | Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 79¢ · -376 | $339 | +28 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 66¢ · -194 | $203 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 76¢ · -317 | $251 | −9 |
| 2026-09-09 | Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 38.5football · totals | Over | lost | 70¢ · -229 | $304 | −304 |
| 2026-09-09 | SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 73¢ · -270 | $387 | +49 |
| 2026-09-09 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 60¢ · -150 | $186 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraztennis · moneyline | Carlos Alcaraz | lost | 78¢ · -355 | $334 | −334 |
| 2026-09-08 | Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 74¢ · -285 | $365 | +122 |
| 2026-09-08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Non-sports | Yes | won | 41¢ · +141 | $535 | +135 |
| 2026-09-08 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 48¢ · +108 | $230 | +32 |
| 2026-09-06 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 8, 2026?Non-sports | No | lost | 25¢ · +295 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraztennis · moneyline | Carlos Alcaraz | exited | 82¢ · -462 | $428 | +69 |
| 2026-09-06 | Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Chelsea FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | exited | 66¢ · -194 | $17 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsendtennis · moneyline | Aryna Sabalenka | exited | 86¢ · -614 | $60 | +9 |
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 7.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners | Over | won | 77¢ · -344 | $134 | −75 |
| 2026-09-06 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 57¢ · -133 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?soccer | No | won | 78¢ · -363 | $200 | −25 |
| 2026-09-05 | Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Alcaraztennis · tennis first set winner | Alcaraz | won | 70¢ · -233 | $65 | +27 |
| 2026-09-05 | Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $332 | −267 |
| 2026-09-05 | Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 89¢ · -809 | $330 | −4 |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalovtennis · moneyline | Ben Shelton | won | 79¢ · -376 | $177 | +29 |
| 2026-09-04 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 71¢ · -245 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | Wu vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5tennis · tennis first set totals | Under | won | 82¢ · -456 | $167 | +35 |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknechtennis · moneyline | Daniil Medvedev | won | 74¢ · -285 | $133 | +33 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-09-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $61 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosatennis · moneyline | Daria Kasatkina | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-09-02 | Zverev vs. Sonego: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5tennis · tennis first set totals | Under | won | 71¢ · -245 | $101 | +39 |
| 2026-08-31 | Nuno Borges vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5tennis · tennis set totals | Over 3.5 | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-08-31 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 89¢ · -809 | $296 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -223 | $102 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $254 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 72¢ · -257 | $112 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 83¢ · -488 | $222 | +43 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Non-sports | Yes | won | 65¢ · -189 | $313 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 85¢ · -567 | $192 | — |