Public evidence record

ducknhat

0x3776b61e67a31cddea0584ff03526573cf87e17a

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.2%459 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.2%$59,827 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.32%159 pre-event fills

Settlement record

134-202-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−27.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 459 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.1% to +2.8%

459 closed positions · 641 taker fills · $59,827 deployed

Typical position $109 (median) · closing line value measured over 159 pre-event fills · 26% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$214

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs

Inner Circle Esports

entry 58¢ · -138now 55¢ · -120−3.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports277 closed70–127–2-5.5%
Tennis70 closed29–31-5.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline	MOUZ	lost	56¢ · -127	$116	−116
2026-09-21	LoL: FENNEL vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Cesports · moneyline	Vivo Keyd Stars Academy	won	52¢ · -108	$189	+166
2026-09-21	KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Severstal Cherepovetshockey · moneyline	Amur Khabarovsk	lost	54¢ · -115	$114	−114
2026-09-21	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Pipsqueak+4