Public evidence record

NUTBUSTER42069

0x38faf5932f8339b700c56058c0e46848ae7f87b5

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-14.5%1,584 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.0%$224,221 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.88%308 pre-event fills

Settlement record

332-928Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−134.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,584 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -18.4% to -10.7%

1,584 closed positions · 5,349 taker fills · $224,221 deployed

Typical position $87 (median) · closing line value measured over 308 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball660 closed128–345-10.5%
Tennis475 closed107–306-16.1%
Baseball294 closed60–176-13.6%
Football104 closed21–77-7.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladzetennis · moneyline	Sorana Cirstea	lost	39¢ · +157	$64	−11
2026-11-06	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladzetennis · moneyline	Alexandra Shubladze	won	42¢ · +141	$258	+30
2026-11-06	South Carolina State vs. Howardfootball · moneyline	Howard	lost	13¢ · +674	$151	+111
2026-11-05	Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Busetennis · moneyline	Nuno Borges	won