Public evidence record

HuntersMethDealer

0x398900e95487c704ac3b52fd653e1697d32227b1

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.0%1,066 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.7%$235,199 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.29%798 pre-event fills

Settlement record

176-523-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−60.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,066 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.7% to +2.7%

1,066 closed positions · 1,780 taker fills · $235,199 deployed

Typical position $177 (median) · closing line value measured over 798 pre-event fills · 14% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

20 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$685

Will Miami Hurricanes Win the 2026 ACC Championship?

Yes

entry 61¢ · -156now 69¢ · -217+7.5 pts

Open

value$2

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?

Yes

entry 0¢now 0¢−0.4 pts

Open

value$233

Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?

Yes

entry 6¢ · +1657now 5¢ · +2051−1.0 pts

Open

value$1174

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes

entry 40¢ · +151now 42¢ · +138+2.2 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball363 closed45–206-10.1%
Football257 closed59–109–1+2.1%
Baseball197 closed28–101-7.3%
Soccer137 closed27–58+2.9%
MMA87 closed11–40–1-3.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 67 sports · 33 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-19	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline	Joshua Van	won	59¢ · -144	$1,204	+796
2026-09-13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Non-sports	No	exited	32¢ · +215	$1,488	—
2026-09-13	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Non-sports	Yes	exited	23¢ · +337	$1,941	—
2026-09-11