Public evidence record

NotWoke11

0x3ad82e5f47e9a04cf73d33676f41365f5b3c5004

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.5%724 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.6%$36,603 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.95%616 pre-event fills

Settlement record

283-327-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−67.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 724 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.5% to +3.5%

724 closed positions · 1,046 taker fills · $36,603 deployed

Typical position $42 (median) · closing line value measured over 616 pre-event fills · 18% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$15

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Inner Circle Esports

entry 62¢ · -163now 32¢ · +217−30.5 pts

Open

value$3

Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?

Yes

entry 15¢ · +567now 3¢ · +3290−12.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports221 closed56–120-10.8%
Baseball198 closed88–85-4.0%
Soccer99 closed36–42-5.2%
Basketball73 closed38–29+0.6%
MMA56 closed26–23–1+0.8%
Hockey51 closed25–18+0.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group Aesports · moneyline	Sashi Esport	lost	45¢ · +122	$31	−31
2026-09-20	Vikings vs. Bearsfootball · moneyline	Bears	lost	59¢ · -144	$55	−55
2026-09-20	Panthers vs. Falconsfootball · moneyline	Panthers	exited	56¢ · -127	$52	+33
2026-09-20	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-20?