Public evidence record

JasonPetersII

0x3baa1887c9b45be4e35726e818d9e421bfc096f4

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.3%370 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.0%$13,985 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.16%371 pre-event fills

Settlement record

185-181-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−32.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 370 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.3% to +2.8%

370 closed positions · 401 taker fills · $13,985 deployed

Typical position $28 (median) · closing line value measured over 371 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball178 closed83–95-7.3%
Esports105 closed54–49–2-5.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 94 sports · 6 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-15	Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline	Boston Red Sox	lost	50¢ · -100	$23	−23
2026-09-15	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · moneyline	Chicago White Sox	lost	42¢ · +138	$17	−17
2026-09-15	Guadalajara Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Panna Udvardytennis · moneyline	Panna Udvardy	lost	33¢ · +203	$50	−50
2026-09-14	Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5