Public evidence record

YOYO6266

0x3c2fe37102a58cdfbd807658968517d55a2f9765

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.8%370 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.2%$56,862 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.54%300 pre-event fills

Settlement record

162-161-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−29.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 370 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.3% to +1.8%

370 closed positions · 505 taker fills · $56,862 deployed

Typical position $99 (median) · closing line value measured over 300 pre-event fills · 27% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$193

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No

entry 85¢ · -567now 96¢ · -2567+11.3 pts

Open

value$417

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes

entry 41¢ · +144now 83¢ · -471+41.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports160 closed73–65–1-4.9%
Basketball125 closed48–61-9.1%
Soccer84 closed41–34-2.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-22	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	50¢ · -100	$308	—
2026-09-21	Atlanta Dream vs. New York Libertybasketball · moneyline	New York Liberty	lost	46¢ · +117	$391	−391
2026-09-21	Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5basketball · totals	Under	won	49¢ · +104	$103	+102
2026-09-20	Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	45¢ · +122