Public evidence record

zbetts

0x3c32339db767b7753054af0732e58ae6fbd57156

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.2%4,984 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.8%$233,676 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.19%4,285 pre-event fills

Settlement record

2556-2182-67Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−132.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 4,984 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.7% to +0.4%

4,984 closed positions · 5,592 taker fills · $233,676 deployed

Typical position $36 (median) · closing line value measured over 4,285 pre-event fills · 21% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$135

Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

No

entry 52¢ · -108now 83¢ · -495+31.2 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball1,503 closed712–718-3.5%
Esports1,264 closed686–530–17-5.6%
Tennis1,186 closed609–503–48-1.1%
Basketball466 closed246–197-0.4%
Soccer263 closed149–98+1.0%
Hockey152 closed72–78-5.1%
MMA112 closed59–43–2+0.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 76 sports · 24 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-15	Guadalajara Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Panna Udvardytennis · moneyline	Panna Udvardy	lost	33¢ · +203	$59	−59
2026-09-15	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs UPGRADE (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsesports · moneyline	FORZE Reload	lost	65¢ · -186	$28	−28
2026-09-15	KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburghockey · moneyline	Avangard Omsk	won	66¢ · -194	$97	+48
2026-09-13