Public evidence record

zbetts

0x3c32339db767b7753054af0732e58ae6fbd57156

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.1%4,991 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.1%$236,727 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.13%4,449 pre-event fills

Settlement record

2560-2185-67Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−131.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 4,991 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.7% to +0.5%

4,991 closed positions · 5,599 taker fills · $236,727 deployed

Typical position $36 (median) · closing line value measured over 4,449 pre-event fills · 21% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball1,503 closed712–718-3.5%
Esports1,264 closed686–530–17-5.7%
Tennis1,186 closed609–503–48-1.2%
Basketball468 closed247–198-0.6%
Soccer263 closed149–98+1.0%
Hockey152 closed72–78-5.9%
MMA112 closed59–43–2-0.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 63 sports · 37 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-29	Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Non-sports	Yes	exited	47¢ · +113	$11	—
2026-09-29	Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Non-sports	Yes	exited	81¢ · -426	$13	—
2026-09-29	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Non-sports	No	exited	10¢ · +868	$5	—
2026-09-29