Public evidence record

garylovestrading

0x3c9133bc2b141dea4ea88ffbc6dabb390cc4b4d2

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 3, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.2%440 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.0%$54,554 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.15%698 pre-event fills

Settlement record

226-210-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−45.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 440 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.7% to +3.3%

440 closed positions · 954 taker fills · $54,554 deployed

Typical position $121 (median) · closing line value measured over 698 pre-event fills · 9% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$261

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

No

entry 45¢ · +123now 93¢ · -1233+47.6 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball153 closed82–71-2.6%
Esports106 closed53–52-6.3%
Soccer78 closed44–34-3.2%
Tennis57 closed27–27–2-7.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 90 sports · 10 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-03	LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsesports · moneyline	LOUD	lost	42¢ · +138	$102	−102
2026-10-03	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stageesports · moneyline	Natus Vincere	won	49¢ · +104	$101	+100
2026-10-03	Michigan vs. Minnesota · Spread Michigan (-6.5)football · spreads	Minnesota	won	52¢ · -108	$30	+28
2026-10-03	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs