Public evidence record

Shreky

0x3d7817cc7d19fd0f3a59592eb087fea03d1aa4cc

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+2.7%963 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.3%$68,484 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+2.58%1,332 pre-event fills

Settlement record

541-370-45Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−30.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 963 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -2.8% to +8.2%

963 closed positions · 1,666 taker fills · $68,484 deployed

Typical position $50 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,332 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$16

Dana White's Contender Series: Norbert Növényi Jr. vs. Theo Haig (Middleweight, Main Card)

Norbert Növényi Jr.

entry 78¢ · -355now 82¢ · -441+3.5 pts

Open

value$8

Australia vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score

Yes

entry 47¢ · +113now 51¢ · -102+3.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis456 closed252–178–23+3.2%
Esports245 closed126–98–18-4.4%
Soccer138 closed103–31–3+2.8%
Basketball55 closed26–28–1-5.2%
Hockey51 closed24–27-2.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 11.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners	Under	won	65¢ · -186	$397	+203
2026-09-19	Saints vs. Ravensfootball · moneyline	Ravens	lost	79¢ · -376	$8	−8
2026-09-19	Tiburon (Doubles): Verdugo/Tracy vs Gonzalez/Smithtennis · moneyline	Verdugo/Tracy	won	35¢ · +186	$39	+68
2026-09-19	Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: Southampton FC O/U 5.5 Cornerssoccer · soccer team total corners	Over	lost