Public evidence record

Shreky

0x3d7817cc7d19fd0f3a59592eb087fea03d1aa4cc

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+2.1%1,010 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.7%$75,111 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+2.19%1,691 pre-event fills

Settlement record

565-393-45Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−28.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,010 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -3.3% to +7.5%

1,010 closed positions · 1,716 taker fills · $75,111 deployed

Typical position $50 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,691 pre-event fills · 12% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$119

Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5

Over

entry 36¢ · +178now 38¢ · +163+2.0 pts

Open

value$540

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Both Teams to Score

No

entry 51¢ · -104now 54¢ · -117+3.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis469 closed257–186–23+2.7%
Esports251 closed128–102–18-5.3%
Soccer155 closed113–38–3+2.7%
Basketball56 closed26–29–1-5.8%
Hockey51 closed24–27-3.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 87 sports · 13 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-04	Shelton vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 22.5tennis · tennis match totals	Under	lost	41¢ · +144	$163	−163
2026-11-04	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 3.5 Cornerssoccer · soccer team total corners	Over	won	55¢ · -122	$62	+48
2026-11-04	PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 3.5 Cornerssoccer · soccer team total corners	Over	won	51¢ · -104	$73	+67
2026-11-01